vamnizar
0xaf4635074c8f9966ff44f2497183b53fc0578c1d
- Realised P&L
- $39.8k
- Volume
- $11.21M
- Markets traded
- 3,112
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,112
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.2kat 0.106Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$6.7kat 0.071Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
- +$4.5kat 0.110Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?
- +$4.2kat 0.309Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.829Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in April 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:50 | Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.74 |
| 08-01 10:07 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.96 |
| 08-01 09:10 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-01 09:10 | Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-31 23:51 | Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.246097561 | $60.54 |
| 07-31 22:54 | Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $4.20 |
| 07-31 21:29 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | SELL | 0.814 | $12.21 |
| 07-31 21:11 | Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $1.63 |
| 07-31 21:11 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 07-30 20:09 | Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 07-30 20:08 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.62 |
| 07-30 17:19 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $40.02 |
| 07-30 17:19 | Israel closes its airspace by August 15? | SELL | 0.83 | $114.38 |
| 07-29 15:06 | Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026? | BUY | 0.275 | $64.31 |
| 07-27 04:12 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.17 |