PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

vamnizar

0xaf4635074c8f9966ff44f2497183b53fc0578c1d

Realised P&L
$39.8k
Volume
$11.21M
Markets traded
3,112
Open portfolio
$3.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,112
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration61.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay · No0.8670.905$2.2k+$91.78
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.792$792.50+$292.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.207$207.50$292.50
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1210.085$206.75$86.98
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? · Yes0.2260.185$159.88$35.72
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in August 2026? · No0.9940.999$99.85+$0.45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.3420.175$52.50$50.17
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · Yes0.1650.100$40.07$26.01
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.2770.245$29.20$3.84
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.1400.190$26.37+$6.94
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in August 2026? · No0.9991.000$5.97+$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.2300.001$0.50$229.50
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in August 2026? · Yes0.0010.014$0.50+$0.46
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in August 2026? · Yes0.0010.004$0.16+$0.12
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in August 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$0.10$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:50Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?SELL0.26$4.74
08-01 10:07Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in August 2026?BUY0.999$5.96
08-01 09:10Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in August 2026?BUY0.001$0.04
08-01 09:10Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in August 2026?BUY0.001$0.04
07-31 23:51Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?BUY0.246097561$60.54
07-31 22:54Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?SELL0.028$4.20
07-31 21:29Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?SELL0.814$12.21
07-31 21:11Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?BUY0.61$1.63
07-31 21:11Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?BUY0.62$3.10
07-30 20:09Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?BUY0.22$44.00
07-30 20:08Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in August 2026?BUY0.999$32.62
07-30 17:19Israel closes its airspace by August 31?SELL0.29$40.02
07-30 17:19Israel closes its airspace by August 15?SELL0.83$114.38
07-29 15:06Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?BUY0.275$64.31
07-27 04:12Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in August 2026?BUY0.999$42.17