PolyBot

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Traders

vamnizar

0xaf4635074c8f9966ff44f2497183b53fc0578c1d

Realised P&L
$41.8k
Volume
$11.73M
Markets traded
3,331
Open portfolio
$5.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,331
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.779$1.5k+$545.02
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · No0.8740.945$1.3k+$101.46
Will FW win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.9940.997$465.80+$1.40
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026? · No0.8870.875$463.75$6.50
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$429.98$545.02
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026? · No0.8860.875$371.88$4.87
Will BSW win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.9900.991$198.20+$0.20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.6000.605$121.00+$1.00
Will Elon tweet 1120-1159 times in September 2026? · No0.9930.993$99.25$0.05
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? · Yes0.1150.055$78.05$84.84
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.2640.175$70.00$35.50
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026? · Yes0.0800.135$60.75+$24.75
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.3420.195$58.50$44.17
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026? · No0.8400.865$43.25+$1.25
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0330.017$41.50$42.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 09:47Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2026?SELL0.004$0.40
09-17 09:47Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2026?SELL0.0045268139$0.14
09-15 08:20Will Elon tweet 1120-1159 times in September 2026?BUY0.993$99.30
09-15 08:16Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026?BUY0.0119615385$0.31
09-14 23:30Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Linke Over/Under 11%?BUY0.26$20.80
09-14 22:52Will FW win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.9930620955$105.87
09-14 22:51Will BSW win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.99$198.00
09-14 22:51Will FW win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.994275798$358.53
09-14 22:39Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in October 2026?BUY0.003$0.02
09-13 18:24Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2026?BUY0.002$0.08
09-12 21:32Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$32.00
09-09 17:58Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.0586470588$4.98
09-09 17:58Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.058$7.19
09-09 12:33Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.21$10.50
09-08 19:33Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.001$4.34