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Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-17
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.014 over the period, from 0.016. Range 0.001 to 0.500. 73 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0031414
0.004255269
0.005405674
0.006205879
0.0074961,375
0.0082001,575
0.0101201,695
0.012301,725
0.030621,787
0.049101,797
0.050301,827
0.056101,837

Spread0.002Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0015,9745,974

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9995,9745,974

Spread0.002Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9971414
0.996255269
0.995405674
0.994205879
0.9934961,375
0.9922001,575
0.9901201,695
0.988301,725
0.970621,787
0.951101,797
0.950301,827
0.944101,837

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ElonJailYes4,184.13
Kaiji123Yes3,500
SugarinaYes3,000
ihrekunstYes1,000
gozel12Yes788.89
EtherappYes500
MartinPNZYes500
ComradeCatYes321.53
oboltusovaoYes305
0x3f182612658cb4c55044a94c1E02632Dba0925EC-1788390368618Yes296
jackli003Yes200
AlexxieazYes188.83
donthackmeYes179.61
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
neverhackmeYes134.86
LornaPredictsYes59.9
Demet3rYes54.99
ghorrockYes53
.MentheYes50
mustbethewaterYes50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:18:29SELLYes0.00111$0.01
18:14:55BUYYes0.001665$0.67
17:00:35SELLYes0.00115$0.01
16:50:38BUYNo0.99910$9.99
16:50:38BUYNo0.99910$9.99
16:33:46BUYNo0.9995$5.01
16:32:08BUYNo0.99811$10.99
16:15:02BUYNo0.99910$9.99
16:12:47BUYNo0.99630$29.88
16:12:26BUYNo0.993301$298.89
15:57:47BUYNo0.9996$6.00
13:07:32SELLYes0.00150$0.05
12:56:28BUYYes0.003789$2.37
12:48:29SELLYes0.00175$0.07
12:44:40SELLYes0.00112$0.01
12:43:37BUYYes0.00150$0.05
05:30:50BUYYes0.0013,315$3.32
18:34:06SELLNo0.9985$4.98
18:28:18SELLNo0.998119$118.76
18:24:48BUYNo0.999119$118.88
17:18:12BUYYes0.002500$1.00
17:01:03BUYNo0.9997$6.99
17:01:01BUYNo0.99910$9.99
14:21:22BUYNo0.99920$19.98
12:19:20BUYNo0.9991,520$1518.48