Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-14
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.23. down 0.17 over the period, from 0.41. Range 0.23 to 0.58. 61 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	16	16
0.26	103	119
0.27	1,527	1,646
0.29	220	1,866
0.30	63	1,929
0.31	10	1,939
0.32	105	2,044
0.33	490	2,534
0.34	1,017	3,551
0.35	152	3,703
0.36	186	3,889
0.37	191	4,080

Spread0.02Mid0.24

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	35	35
0.22	165	200
0.21	450	650
0.20	62	712
0.19	136	848
0.18	19	866
0.17	18	884
0.16	70	954
0.15	120	1,074
0.14	100	1,174
0.13	154	1,328
0.12	79	1,407

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	35	35
0.78	165	200
0.79	450	650
0.80	62	712
0.81	136	848
0.82	19	866
0.83	18	884
0.84	70	954
0.85	120	1,074
0.86	100	1,174
0.87	154	1,328
0.88	79	1,407

Spread0.02Mid0.76

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	16	16
0.74	103	119
0.73	1,527	1,646
0.71	220	1,866
0.70	63	1,929
0.69	10	1,939
0.68	105	2,044
0.67	490	2,534
0.66	1,017	3,551
0.65	152	3,703
0.64	186	3,889
0.63	191	4,080

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Kaiji123	Yes	3,500
RickRockRick	Yes	3,223.09
Sugarina	Yes	3,000
amy888	Yes	1,269.87
0xf452408fAa1A0eEDAd591f65D8F5F5c7bbC58FF9-1764228314605	Yes	1,001.45
sazzaa	Yes	886.07
neutralwave23	Yes	782.51
Mei-ji	Yes	700.4
0xD0f99f553bC376E8b86246295d679dC86334d400-1775513252892	Yes	549.99
bipbipbop	Yes	390.3
jsjsnxxn	Yes	385
InsideR5	Yes	340.39
Mommy007	Yes	311.42
NotCopeGotHacked	Yes	300
ComradeCat	Yes	251.01
exponentially	Yes	211.77
Kamenshyk22	Yes	200
MartinPNZ	Yes	177.14
pendulum0206	Yes	164.92
reefv	Yes	129.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
04:35:33	BUY	Yes	0.25	92	$23.00
04:31:00	BUY	Yes	0.24	58	$13.99
04:30:44	BUY	Yes	0.23	30	$6.90
04:25:42	BUY	No	0.78	10	$7.80
04:17:54	BUY	No	0.797826087	46	$36.70
04:17:42	BUY	Yes	0.2205666515	116	$25.68
04:16:54	SELL	No	0.7908693333	75	$59.32
04:16:38	SELL	Yes	0.1891726289	109	$20.62
04:16:27	SELL	Yes	0.2	62	$12.31
04:16:18	SELL	Yes	0.2376829421	400	$95.07
04:16:17	SELL	Yes	0.24	73	$17.52
04:14:48	BUY	No	0.75	100	$75.00
04:14:20	BUY	No	0.75	225	$168.86
04:07:56	BUY	Yes	0.26	20	$5.20
03:52:36	BUY	No	0.7599999937	19	$14.49
03:52:35	BUY	Yes	0.27	200	$54.00
03:51:45	BUY	Yes	0.26	46	$11.89
03:46:15	SELL	Yes	0.2415919764	126	$30.35
03:45:02	BUY	Yes	0.26	56	$14.53
03:33:08	SELL	Yes	0.24	87	$20.76
03:32:03	BUY	Yes	0.27	80	$21.60
03:32:03	BUY	No	0.7599999737	8	$5.79
03:30:59	BUY	Yes	0.2610511569	19	$5.00
03:23:29	BUY	No	0.75	5	$3.51
03:23:29	BUY	No	0.75	9	$7.06