pendulum0206
0x98d6b1d025043b8254c99cb70af62f67650151dc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $495.9k
- Markets traded
- 513
- Open portfolio
- $242.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded513
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.33at 0.345Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
- +$222.66at 0.172Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
- +$212.69at 0.870Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$188.07at 0.235Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$157.05at 0.716Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 18:16 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $2.62 |
| 09-28 01:07 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 20:00 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.04 |
| 09-22 15:12 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $3.52 |
| 09-22 15:06 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.41 | $1.11 |
| 09-21 17:33 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.27 |
| 09-21 12:02 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 07:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.39 |
| 09-17 05:09 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.07 |
| 09-16 20:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.10 |
| 09-15 20:28 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.20 |
| 09-09 03:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.93 |
| 09-08 16:52 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.44 |
| 09-08 06:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.01 |
| 09-03 04:48 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.11 |