sazzaa
0x12ed45d2b45259d27a7fb593e564cd269c4fc9b4
- Realised P&L
- $42.1k
- Volume
- $5.25M
- Markets traded
- 710
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded710
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.575 | $1.3k | +$587.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.139 | $1.1k | +$360.94 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.125 | $60.38 | +$7.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 16? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.85 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$765.57 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · Yes | 0.224 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$768.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.105Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
- +$3.4kat 0.181Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.227Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.209Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?
- +$2.6kat 0.290Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:16 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $6.38 |
| 09-17 02:15 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 09-17 02:15 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.32 |
| 09-17 00:23 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.137 | $11.35 |
| 09-16 22:59 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.099 | $9.90 |
| 09-16 22:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $15.34 |
| 09-16 21:53 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $157.41 |
| 09-16 21:40 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.088 | $26.40 |
| 09-16 21:34 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.086 | $1.12 |
| 09-16 21:27 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.082 | $12.14 |
| 09-16 21:15 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $107.22 |
| 09-16 20:47 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.071 | $0.99 |
| 09-16 20:37 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.066 | $0.33 |
| 09-16 19:38 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $132.28 |
| 09-16 19:38 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.82 |