Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-14
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.07. down 0.15 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.07 to 0.23. 8 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	451	451
0.10	200	651
0.11	391	1,042
0.12	620	1,662
0.13	50	1,712
0.14	160	1,871
0.17	170	2,041
0.18	200	2,241
0.22	100	2,341
0.29	70	2,411
0.30	500	2,911
0.39	405	3,316

Spread0.03Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	470	470
0.05	150	620
0.04	2,501	3,121
0.03	200	3,321
0.02	261	3,582
0.01	833	4,415

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	470	470
0.95	150	620
0.96	2,501	3,121
0.97	200	3,321
0.98	261	3,582
0.99	833	4,415

Spread0.03Mid0.93

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	451	451
0.90	200	651
0.89	391	1,042
0.88	620	1,662
0.87	50	1,712
0.86	160	1,871
0.83	170	2,041
0.82	200	2,241
0.78	100	2,341
0.71	70	2,411
0.70	500	2,911
0.61	405	3,316

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Demet3r	Yes	100
oboltusovao	Yes	100
reefv	Yes	32.91
0x6143Cc9Af0D3f0A5f5E01Ffb2373d01478A37dcA-1770810340036	Yes	22.33
whereismymoney	Yes	20
Csjam	Yes	14.29
PPMT	Yes	7.67
0xa5ef…2966	No	220
str-1000	No	32.91
SupercubPA18	No	30
0xfffa…b631	No	14.29

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:11:25	BUY	Yes	0.0899999973	22	$2.01
21:19:12	BUY	No	0.93	30	$27.90
18:52:15	BUY	Yes	0.139999993	14	$2.00
16:49:09	BUY	No	0.9399999994	33	$30.94