0x6143Cc9Af0D3f0A5f5E01Ffb2373d01478A37dcA-1770810340036
0xa2e631645763369a4665ef46ce1c815644e1891c
- Realised P&L
- $-5.71
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $44.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.910 | 0.885 | $14.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.636 | 0.649 | $5.10 | +$0.10 |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.070 | $4.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.109 | $4.74 | +$1.74 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.037 | $4.42 | −$0.58 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.165 | $4.34 | −$0.66 |
| Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? · Yes | 0.562 | 0.375 | $3.34 | −$1.66 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.075 | $1.68 | −$0.33 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.004 | $0.20 | −$4.80 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.91at 0.847Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
- +$-5.57at 0.091Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 22:11 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999973 | $2.01 |
| 10-10 22:09 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.0424267299 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 22:07 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1? | BUY | 0.110465116 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 22:05 | Will global art market sales hit $65 billion for 2026? | BUY | 0.561908493 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 21:28 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0709999992 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 21:27 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6359999369 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 21:25 | Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | SELL | 0.0107186775 | $0.74 |
| 10-09 11:39 | Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.086999999 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 11:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 11:37 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:37 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0689999998 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 11:36 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 11:34 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 11:33 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |