PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Csjam

0x406cdd49ba26c629a224ba9b36f42594a1021f68

Realised P&L
$-10.45
Volume
$986.72
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$30.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3300.345$10.45+$0.45
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · No0.2900.590$4.07+$2.07
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 10? · No0.0370.015$3.27−$4.73
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6200.625$3.02+$0.02
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.2860.285$2.00−$0.00
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · No0.0350.045$1.29+$0.29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? · Yes0.1400.075$1.07−$0.93
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.0210.021$1.00−$0.00
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes0.8000.790$0.99−$0.01
ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31? · No0.8300.790$0.95−$0.05
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House · Yes0.0100.009$0.90−$0.10
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.0800.065$0.81−$0.19
Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15? · No0.1600.115$0.72−$0.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$10.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 18:562026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseBUY0.01$1.00
10-10 18:53Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?BUY0.16$1.00
10-10 18:52Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?BUY0.139999993$2.00
10-10 18:46Israel military action against Lebanon on October 10?BUY0.0367019617$8.00
10-10 18:42Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.6199999587$3.00
10-10 18:42Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
10-10 18:38Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?BUY0.0205724756$1.00
10-10 18:36Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.2859999997$2.00
10-10 18:35Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.08$1.00
10-10 18:33Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3299999924$10.00
10-10 18:31ICE Agent charged in NYC incident by December 31?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
10-10 18:28US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.2899999884$2.00
10-10 18:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.0349999995$1.00
10-10 18:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.01$5.00
10-10 18:16Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETBUY0.7099999702$5.00