0xfffa565ecedb6da6dfeeffd6f2c06df54e04b631
0xfffa565ecedb6da6dfeeffd6f2c06df54e04b631
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $30.3k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $13.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.925 | $13.21 | +$0.93 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? · No | 0.842 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$139.37 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · No | 0.691 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$453.91 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.196Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
- +$176.73at 0.736Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?
- +$170.94at 0.757Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?
- +$152.24at 0.812Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?
- +$142.87at 0.509Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:36 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9465 | $18.93 |
| 10-10 14:31 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9358104 | $93.58 |
| 10-10 14:30 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.93205 | $279.62 |
| 10-10 14:30 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $95.50 |
| 10-10 14:29 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 10-10 07:41 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $81.44 |
| 10-10 07:40 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9198666 | $183.97 |
| 10-09 18:19 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.939715 | $187.94 |
| 10-09 18:19 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.9377033333 | $281.31 |
| 10-09 07:20 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7489090909 | $41.19 |
| 10-09 07:17 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $13.39 |
| 10-09 07:16 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.738918 | $110.84 |
| 10-08 16:46 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.886 | $29.24 |
| 10-08 14:10 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $136.50 |
| 10-07 05:29 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.194140625 | $49.70 |