PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-12
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.025 over the period, from 0.026. Range 0.001 to 0.026. 79 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00110,36410,364
0.005610,370
0.0061610,386
0.0107810,464
0.02013610,600
0.0242410,624
0.0304410,667
0.0494010,707
0.0502010,727
0.053510,732
0.07013010,862
0.0966010,922

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99910,36410,364
0.995610,370
0.9941610,386
0.9907810,464
0.98013610,600
0.9762410,624
0.9704410,667
0.9514010,707
0.9502010,727
0.947510,732
0.93013010,862
0.9046010,922

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
smalltimezzzYes11,568.57
Kaiji123Yes3,500
RickRockRickYes3,000
SugarinaYes3,000
ihrekunstYes2,316.46
BiggggggggYes1,352.08
0x2d2d2DECfAB6730091af4541Ad53dB99484621C1-1776435475898Yes1,000
exp7incherYes700
balthazarYes698.75
hoomanloverYes500
MartinPNZYes500
0x90D7483f66281E57d4f54f459dd4748742905cB7-1758547944546Yes350
123987456Yes312.64
rvamadorYes309.77
stompychanYes300
broitsraviYes299.29
SupremeGamblerYes239.67
mildwindow27Yes183.38
mustbethewaterYes173.94
qwen4.1.fundYes169.87

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:30:29BUYYes0.0015$0.01
19:49:21BUYYes0.0015$0.01
17:38:24SELLYes0.00138$0.04
17:36:24BUYNo0.99920$19.58
17:36:24BUYNo0.99985$84.92
16:34:39SELLYes0.001184$0.18
16:23:01BUYNo0.99910$9.99
16:22:48BUYNo0.99910$9.99
16:18:00BUYYes0.0045$0.02
16:17:58BUYYes0.00479$0.31
16:10:58BUYYes0.0032282224310$1.00
16:10:22BUYYes0.001299$0.30
16:09:49SELLNo0.99924$23.98
16:09:42BUYNo0.996177$176.00
16:09:19BUYNo0.99224$23.81
15:52:30SELLYes0.002116$0.23
15:41:39SELLYes0.00284$0.17
15:40:22BUYNo0.99920$19.98
15:20:09SELLYes0.001650$0.65
15:15:18SELLYes0.00222$0.04
14:55:31BUYYes0.0025$0.01
14:55:27BUYYes0.002130$0.26
13:17:25BUYNo0.999500$499.50
13:11:42BUYNo0.999100$99.90
09:38:07BUYNo0.99910$9.99