hoomanlover
0xd661fbbe2a0f76506b487348ce00006dfd350d4e
- Realised P&L
- $3.3k
- Volume
- $530.7k
- Markets traded
- 862
- Open portfolio
- $70.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded862
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes | 0.876 | 0.991 | $69.36 | +$8.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.76 | −$1.28 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.60 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$493.92at 0.012Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$491.62at 0.498Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$471.99at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4AM ET
- +$382.43at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 6AM ET
- +$372.99at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 11PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 16:04 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.05 |
| 09-22 15:44 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $144.88 |
| 09-22 15:19 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.24 |
| 09-21 13:32 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $291.72 |
| 09-21 13:32 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $130.30 |
| 09-21 13:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $170.17 |
| 09-21 13:31 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $33.95 |
| 09-20 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.14 |
| 09-20 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.32 |
| 09-20 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.32 |
| 09-19 14:24 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.883 | $43.56 |
| 09-19 14:12 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.788 | $5.52 |
| 09-19 14:09 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $18.23 |
| 09-19 14:07 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-19 07:32 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.918 | $64.26 |