exp7incher
0x29b577492172b0b8e5abb1e0a414b69a632ca992
- Realised P&L
- $-286.08
- Volume
- $611.98
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $583.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-46.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.815 | $485.74 | +$448.49 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.150 | $89.70 | +$52.45 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.011 | $6.56 | −$30.69 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.001 | $0.30 | −$36.95 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.001 | $0.30 | −$36.95 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.001 | $0.30 | −$36.95 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.001 | $0.30 | −$36.95 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.001 | $0.30 | −$36.95 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
- +$-0.00at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
- +$-286.08at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 16:49 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.98 |
| 10-02 09:47 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.98 |