Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-12
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.07 to 0.38. 33 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	285	285
0.11	300	585
0.12	1,319	1,904
0.13	1,046	2,950
0.14	2,258	5,208
0.15	1,352	6,560
0.16	439	6,999
0.17	444	7,443
0.18	554	7,997
0.19	889	8,886
0.20	954	9,840
0.22	449	10,289

Spread0.01Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	32	32
0.08	651	683
0.07	786	1,469
0.06	688	2,157
0.05	1,243	3,400
0.04	1,853	5,253
0.03	8,870	14,123
0.02	34,715	48,838
0.01	1,880	50,718

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	32	32
0.92	651	683
0.93	786	1,469
0.94	688	2,157
0.95	1,243	3,400
0.96	1,853	5,253
0.97	8,870	14,123
0.98	34,715	48,838
0.99	1,880	50,718

Spread0.01Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	285	285
0.89	300	585
0.88	1,319	1,904
0.87	1,046	2,950
0.86	2,258	5,208
0.85	1,352	6,560
0.84	439	6,999
0.83	444	7,443
0.82	554	7,997
0.81	889	8,886
0.80	954	9,840
0.78	449	10,289

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
smalltimezzz	Yes	7,834.25
NBALOL	Yes	554.99
LuckyMANNN	Yes	450.56
Mommy007	Yes	314
Romeo005	Yes	200
reefv	Yes	110.23
Demet3r	Yes	100
Fuadkrm7	Yes	100
zenef3	Yes	100
jinwei122	Yes	65
0x482F2981Ab659f40E0C0f99234623e21f26b53f7-1773605566485	Yes	51.1
oboltusovao	Yes	50
haraldNine	Yes	22
Balfang	Yes	20
Lyn-monroe	Yes	12.5
Etherapp	Yes	8.33
trader-f479078a	Yes	6
0xc7D5670680A73067135fE24B4c97F196F8C46b08-1782535538997	Yes	5
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	4.99
0xa5ef…2966	No	8,474.26

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:43:49	BUY	No	0.9099995598	2	$1.84
22:23:47	BUY	Yes	0.0923076923	65	$6.00
18:46:52	BUY	No	0.9299999907	1	$1.00
18:37:02	BUY	Yes	0.08	200	$16.00
17:23:34	SELL	Yes	0.09	5	$0.45
17:21:23	SELL	Yes	0.09	50	$4.50
17:02:09	BUY	Yes	0.09	55	$4.97
16:57:58	BUY	No	0.9199999904	4	$3.84
16:57:57	BUY	No	0.92	19	$17.42
16:57:57	BUY	No	0.92	12	$11.44
16:57:57	BUY	No	0.92	20	$17.98
16:57:57	BUY	No	0.92	19	$17.67
16:57:57	BUY	No	0.92	20	$18.29
16:57:52	BUY	No	0.92	30	$27.76
16:57:52	BUY	No	0.92	30	$27.91
16:57:50	BUY	No	0.92	31	$28.51
16:57:50	BUY	No	0.92	18	$16.59
16:57:50	BUY	No	0.92	64	$58.94
16:57:50	BUY	No	0.92	45	$41.82
16:57:47	BUY	No	0.92	110	$100.77
16:57:47	BUY	No	0.92	105	$96.60
15:55:06	SELL	No	0.87	50	$43.50
15:55:03	BUY	No	0.88	50	$44.00
15:54:15	BUY	Yes	0.12	8	$1.00
15:52:58	BUY	Yes	0.1199999996	92	$11.00