jinwei122
0x5c04798dec6651dff5bab7da09642fcebdfe6587
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $332.1k
- Markets traded
- 2,541
- Open portfolio
- $27.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,541
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · Yes | 0.558 | 0.740 | $11.94 | +$2.94 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.195 | $6.16 | +$0.16 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.179 | $5.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.092 | 0.065 | $4.22 | −$1.77 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.90at 0.452Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?
- +$51.84at 0.673Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
- +$44.69at 0.328Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?
- +$44.42at 0.344Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$43.96at 0.557Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 01:04 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $8.76 |
| 10-09 22:59 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 22:23 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.0923076923 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 22:19 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 22:18 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1949999985 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 22:12 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5579999743 | $9.00 |
| 10-09 22:11 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 14:59 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 13:39 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $4.06 |
| 10-09 12:43 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.8457135576 | $41.48 |
| 10-09 10:45 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2364454307 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 09:12 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8083262998 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 08:21 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7479999417 | $6.00 |
| 10-09 07:16 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6994171465 | $12.00 |
| 10-09 06:22 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6229999882 | $12.00 |