haraldNine
0xed3fafba4d0fa3338f46607dd0faf3c0fd8aa9e4
- Realised P&L
- $180.37
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $43.31
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.06at 0.023Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$44.39at 0.023Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$32.69at 0.026Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
- +$28.30at 0.023Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$22.53at 0.023Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 09-21 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.85 |
| 09-20 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.22 |
| 09-18 17:41 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.35 |
| 09-18 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.46 |
| 09-18 07:18 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.27 |
| 09-18 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.21 |
| 09-18 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-18 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $3.39 |
| 09-18 04:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.93 |
| 09-17 20:53 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.56 |
| 09-17 19:49 | Dota 2: Kalmychata vs uralan - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.42 | $0.29 |
| 09-17 19:39 | Tiburon: Ryan Seggerman vs Mitchell Krueger | SELL | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 09-17 18:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 17? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.04 |
| 09-17 18:23 | Sao Paulo Open: Dominika Salkova vs Mary Stoiana | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |