PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trader-f479078a

0xf479078a8ec6e723f3d51af54f5364a4bf84d6d5

Realised P&L
$-43.72
Volume
$5.4k
Markets traded
185
Open portfolio
$3.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded185
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration95.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.1800.150$3.00−$0.60
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes0.0090.005$0.11−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28? · Yes0.4200.001$0.01−$4.20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on September 28? · Yes0.1800.001$0.01−$1.79
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on September 28? · Yes0.0600.001$0.00−$0.59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28? · No0.7000.001$0.00−$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 18:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.43$2.15
09-27 18:46Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.41$2.05
09-26 12:02Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?BUY0.18$3.60
09-24 19:18S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?SELL0.47$2.35
09-23 07:42Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?SELL0.963$4.81
09-22 14:44Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.48$2.40
09-21 20:59S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 22?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-21 17:47Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?SELL0.51$2.54
09-18 18:47S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?SELL0.3$0.89
09-18 18:46S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?SELL0.4$0.82
09-18 13:37Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.26$4.42
09-18 09:11Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.06$1.02
09-14 12:54Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 14?SELL0.3$1.50
09-14 08:21Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14?BUY0.49$2.45
09-11 08:44Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on September 12?SELL0.001$0.01