PolyBot

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Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in November 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.029 over the period, from 0.047. Range 0.016 to 0.054. 148 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0194646
0.020551
0.021556
0.02251107
0.02451159
0.02891250
0.03279329
0.03912342
0.07975417
0.080100517
0.08883600
0.08980680

Spread0.002Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0178181
0.01573154
0.01389243
0.0127250
0.01198348
0.009117465
0.007146611
0.00525636
0.003287923
0.0025101,433
0.0013,2024,635

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9838181
0.98573154
0.98789243
0.9887250
0.98998348
0.991117465
0.993146611
0.99525636
0.997287923
0.9985101,433
0.9993,2024,635

Spread0.002Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9814646
0.980551
0.979556
0.97851107
0.97651159
0.97291250
0.96879329
0.96112342
0.92175417
0.920100517
0.91283600
0.91180680

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BitgodYes630
sange111Yes320.01
hetaczYes300
damirjanYes107.13
OmwamiJeffYes100
0x279C5de35108AFC30b99f09e595555B428E92b82-1777882786715Yes76.41
Numitus1994Yes46.87
0xf0e0…b50eYes34.87
ghorrockYes20.68
LornaPredictsYes20
letstry22Yes20
0xf768…f7d2Yes16.26
bjproloYes10
0120346Yes10
0xa5ef…2966No1,712.48

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:03:57SELLYes0.0180$0.01
17:50:30BUYYes0.024701116540$1.00
14:07:49SELLYes0.03100$3.00
18:21:28BUYNo0.985335333390$88.68
18:01:48BUYNo0.9852$2.10
18:01:39BUYNo0.9856$6.23
18:01:37BUYNo0.9847$6.86
18:01:22BUYNo0.98410$9.53
18:00:46BUYNo0.98350$49.15
18:00:46BUYNo0.98310$9.83
17:03:25BUYYes0.028678229635$1.00
01:57:48SELLYes0.0111$0.01
01:52:27BUYNo0.98950$49.45
01:27:40SELLYes0.0110$0.00
01:06:31BUYNo0.98923$22.25
21:08:42BUYYes0.038728897452$2.00
19:47:19BUYNo0.97910$9.79
03:45:00BUYNo0.97413$12.66
02:51:38BUYNo0.9699$8.71
02:51:32BUYNo0.9695$4.85
02:51:26BUYNo0.9713$12.61
22:16:36BUYYes0.05520$1.10
22:16:21SELLYes0.030$0.01
21:58:51BUYNo0.928$25.20
21:53:20BUYNo0.915$13.50