PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-01
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.18. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.18. Range 0.14 to 0.40. 165 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.21104104
0.318112
0.32100212
0.33197409
0.3610419
0.3730449
0.38100549
0.39113662
0.4040702
0.4115717
0.4311728
0.4565793

Spread0.05Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.16416416
0.14100516
0.105521
0.0960581
0.085241,105
0.071,0802,186
0.065002,686
0.055403,226
0.048004,026
0.021,4505,476
0.011,5006,976

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84416416
0.86100516
0.905521
0.9160581
0.925241,105
0.931,0802,186
0.945002,686
0.955403,226
0.968004,026
0.981,4505,476
0.991,5006,976

Spread0.05Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.79104104
0.698112
0.68100212
0.67197409
0.6410419
0.6330449
0.62100549
0.61113662
0.6040702
0.5915717
0.5711728
0.5565793

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
hetaczYes1,119.76
vamnizarYes864.22
BitgodYes600
sange111Yes319
0xa873c2eB6C228e03C747394A4C439fDaF7dE6b47-1768305008262Yes163.69
planktonXDYes67.01
itsatweetYes59.99
lilith275Yes51.98
NianbaYes29.83
Trader120Yes23.05
0xf9ea…7b04Yes21.84
PPMTYes11.74
ArdalofYes10.28
0x45e6Df48cCF5d1773D509C97052F819690cEC078-1782111207998Yes9.08
jdkfbsbdskjbfjksqYes7.5
infoowlYes7.3
0x3FdF5e85Ee4d21d90e699eF5eb14A901C9Ae2bac-1779006419315Yes6.78
dragonfly66Yes5.84
0x2195…49e3Yes4.56
godblessme2026Yes2.45

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:48:53SELLYes0.165$0.76
09:45:15BUYYes0.20999986775$1.00
08:14:39SELLYes0.155$0.68
08:01:41BUYYes0.21999985485$1.00
07:57:51BUYYes0.21999985485$1.00
06:28:41SELLYes0.155$0.68
06:28:11BUYYes0.21999985485$1.00
02:02:14BUYYes0.14999988757$1.00
23:17:29BUYYes0.1610$1.60
21:05:15BUYNo0.7965$50.96
19:00:48BUYYes0.294$1.01
18:54:42SELLYes0.2230$6.60
17:50:39SELLYes0.2618$4.74
16:26:05BUYYes0.3216$5.00
15:24:14BUYNo0.777$54.05
10:38:21BUYYes0.32999978223$1.00
08:53:44BUYYes0.32999994647$2.28
03:47:38BUYYes0.32195112146$2.00
03:29:45BUYYes0.305447865164$50.00
03:27:18BUYNo0.792$1.58
16:53:32BUYYes0.3216$5.00
15:01:36BUYYes0.358$2.73
13:30:11BUYNo0.6837$24.99
09:10:53BUYNo0.841$1.00
09:10:51BUYNo0.8410$8.40