0xf9ea4ce30e4e0e2db5b8152ea7004b24e5507b04
- Realised P&L
- $-256.87
- Volume
- $41.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,094
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,094
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.06at 0.074Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?
- +$78.02at 0.075Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?
- +$67.64at 0.277Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
- +$53.66at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 640-679 tweets in July 2026?
- +$50.19at 0.143Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6799999701 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4199999859 | $9.55 |
| 09-16 19:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 19:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.36813355 | $10.00 |