PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

itsatweet

0x09050eeaa670227d0f244f54694a4de9f77c99ad

Realised P&L
$-377.62
Volume
$262.5k
Markets traded
1,172
Open portfolio
$11.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,172
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in August 2026? · Yes0.1800.185$11.10+$0.30
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in July 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$3.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$8.70
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? · No0.1940.000$0.00$9.70
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$2.69
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$4.00
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in July 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$3.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in July 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$4.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 15:36France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.79$7.90
07-07 05:57Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 6 to July 8, 2026?BUY0.57$17.10
07-06 05:33Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?SELL0.39$39.00
07-04 08:01Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?BUY0.878$43.90
06-26 14:18Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?BUY0.9554$95.54
06-26 14:17Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?SELL0.999$99.90
06-25 05:09Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?BUY0.122$3.96
06-16 17:23Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?BUY0.92$36.80
06-13 05:24Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.94$94.00
06-12 09:44Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?BUY0.92$92.00
06-08 15:31Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?BUY0.98$27.44
06-06 06:42Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?BUY0.88$88.00
06-05 05:11Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?SELL0.971$43.70
06-03 17:01Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.911$91.10
06-03 07:49Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?BUY0.915$91.50
Trader itsatweet · PolyBot