lilith275
0x7db008f9288780a12451082acdf0e3d383fc8c18
- Realised P&L
- $6.7k
- Volume
- $286.4k
- Markets traded
- 347
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded347
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.593US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
- +$1.5kat 0.697Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
- +$716.04at 0.957Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$679.56at 0.895Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?
- +$630.58at 0.673US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 23:49 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.56 | $30.54 |
| 09-18 23:49 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.55 | $30.73 |
| 09-17 21:54 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.6855589246 | $135.66 |
| 09-17 08:14 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 09-17 06:23 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.72 | $43.19 |
| 09-17 06:13 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | BUY | 0.74 | $30.85 |
| 09-17 06:00 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | BUY | 0.73 | $25.55 |
| 09-17 05:57 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | SELL | 0.27 | $4.05 |
| 09-17 05:54 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | SELL | 0.28 | $8.40 |
| 09-16 00:23 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.56 | $14.10 |
| 09-15 07:43 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.56 | $26.32 |
| 09-15 04:28 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-15 04:12 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.54 | $24.51 |
| 09-13 08:49 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? | BUY | 0.49 | $22.05 |
| 09-13 06:33 | Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.6867848911 | $369.46 |