Will Claude Opus 5.6+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://platform.claude.com/docs/en/about-claude/pricing

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.031. down 0.039 over the period, from 0.070. Range 0.029 to 0.070. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.052	20	20
0.053	168	188
0.058	20	208
0.199	20	228
0.211	50	278
0.301	50	328
0.411	50	378
0.541	50	428
0.691	30	458
0.738	7	465
0.739	50	515
0.740	80	595

Spread0.042Mid0.031

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.010	10	10
0.004	47	57
0.003	178	236
0.002	206	441
0.001	36	477

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.990	10	10
0.996	47	57
0.997	178	236
0.998	206	441
0.999	36	477

Spread0.042Mid0.969

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.948	20	20
0.947	168	188
0.942	20	208
0.801	20	228
0.789	50	278
0.699	50	328
0.589	50	378
0.459	50	428
0.309	30	458
0.262	7	465
0.261	50	515
0.260	80	595

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Numitus1994	Yes	168
AJSV	Yes	78.36
Dr.PNL	Yes	69.99
GuyFromTinder	Yes	60
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	28
Haradwaith	Yes	20
yuyuyuyuyyuuyuyu	Yes	20
zctrading	No	333.11
spxtest	No	100
0xEae721187d1113C0a9BB79d2a13335F7d8618E9E-1734009839636	No	11.24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:26:06	SELL	Yes	0.011	20	$0.22
07:26:44	SELL	Yes	0.028145	20	$0.56
07:26:09	BUY	No	0.95	104	$98.80
07:26:03	BUY	No	0.94	80	$75.19
08:47:41	SELL	Yes	0.03	50	$1.50
08:41:57	SELL	Yes	0.03	20	$0.60
08:41:54	BUY	No	0.95	100	$95.00
06:23:26	SELL	Yes	0.05	20	$1.00
06:23:24	BUY	No	0.93	101	$93.93
02:36:14	BUY	No	0.91	60	$54.60
21:29:06	BUY	No	0.9	9	$8.19
21:29:02	BUY	No	0.8956666667	21	$18.81
21:28:57	BUY	No	0.89	18	$16.04
19:32:08	BUY	No	0.8899999947	11	$10.00