Will Luis Inácio (Lula) da Silva win between 53% and 56% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-05

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.015. down 0.160 over the period, from 0.175. Range 0.005 to 0.185. 20 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.028	32	32
0.029	402	434
0.030	200	634
0.220	85	719
0.221	5	724
0.230	100	824
0.339	50	874
0.340	666	1,540
0.502	100	1,640
0.503	30	1,670
0.595	400	2,070
0.596	123	2,193

Spread0.027Mid0.015

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	898	898

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	898	898

Spread0.027Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.972	32	32
0.971	402	434
0.970	200	634
0.780	85	719
0.779	5	724
0.770	100	824
0.661	50	874
0.660	666	1,540
0.498	100	1,640
0.497	30	1,670
0.405	400	2,070
0.404	123	2,193

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ConfusedUngaBunga	Yes	401.72
youtube-trader	Yes	264
AJSV	Yes	86.33
Scaface171	Yes	40.81
bjprolo	Yes	10
balthazar	Yes	8.32
vinii	No	736.84
TheOne777	No	53
0xa5ef…2966	No	8.32
0xd1f4531dd0edfC4d5eB3C138D51f232Eee597a37-1763211015395	No	7
bountyhunter001	No	5
0x86AaC2Dc1708b2b778D4507F9C5ba1058aD32682-1769308593364	No	1.03

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:58:32	BUY	Yes	0.0245029695	41	$1.00
20:46:56	BUY	No	0.9855404158	737	$726.19
20:46:23	BUY	No	0.97	1	$1.00
20:11:09	BUY	No	0.93	53	$49.29