0x86AaC2Dc1708b2b778D4507F9C5ba1058aD32682-1769308593364
0x86aac2dc1708b2b778d4507f9c5ba1058ad32682
- Realised P&L
- $12.18
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 518
- Open portfolio
- $109.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded518
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.23at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
- +$2.22at 0.727Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$1.99at 0.736Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?
- +$1.80at 0.736Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
- +$1.66at 0.709Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 12:37 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.8079998772 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 12:36 | Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 12:36 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.98 | $2.12 |
| 09-07 13:02 | Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 12:58 | Renan Santos participates in debate before first round? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 12:57 | Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 12:56 | Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%? | BUY | 0.9702969144 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 12:55 | Will Drake release a new album by September 30? | BUY | 0.9169999963 | $2.00 |
| 09-05 17:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-05 17:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September? | BUY | 0.8799995072 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 17:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8299992198 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 14:01 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 14:01 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2709999513 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 13:56 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $1.08 |
| 08-28 22:04 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |