0x86AaC2Dc1708b2b778D4507F9C5ba1058aD32682-1769308593364
0x86aac2dc1708b2b778d4507f9c5ba1058ad32682
- Realised P&L
- $6.81
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 478
- Open portfolio
- $103.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded478
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.42at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
- +$1.85at 0.730Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
- +$1.32at 0.600Iran leadership change by April 30?
- +$1.14at 0.835Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
- +$1.05at 0.826Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:49 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:49 | Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31? | BUY | 0.7599993312 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:48 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 11:44 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.17 |
| 08-02 01:07 | Will Rafael Leao join Paris Saint-Germain? | BUY | 0.954999384 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:03 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 01:01 | Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:01 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in August? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:36 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 17:35 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:35 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.8699997259 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 17:34 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 17:34 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999656 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 17:33 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9639999884 | $1.00 |