PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x86AaC2Dc1708b2b778D4507F9C5ba1058aD32682-1769308593364

0x86aac2dc1708b2b778d4507f9c5ba1058ad32682

Realised P&L
$12.18
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
518
Open portfolio
$109.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded518
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 12:37Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.8079998772$1.00
09-13 12:36Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-13 12:36Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.98$2.12
09-07 13:02Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by October 31, 2026?BUY0.92$1.00
09-07 12:58Renan Santos participates in debate before first round?BUY0.96$2.00
09-07 12:57Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?BUY0.9$1.00
09-07 12:56Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?BUY0.9702969144$1.00
09-07 12:55Will Drake release a new album by September 30?BUY0.9169999963$2.00
09-05 17:04Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?BUY0.95$2.00
09-05 17:04Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?BUY0.8799995072$1.00
09-05 17:04Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?BUY0.8299992198$1.00
08-30 14:01Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7899999921$1.00
08-30 14:01Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.2709999513$3.00
08-30 13:56Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in August 2026?SELL0.991$1.08
08-28 22:04Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.91$1.00