Will the biggest earthquake on September 28, 2026 be under 5.3?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-29
Resolves by: https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.255 over the period, from 0.255. Range 0.001 to 0.255. 29 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	55	55
0.019	20	75
0.997	333	408
0.998	500	908
0.999	1,075	1,983

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	55	55
0.981	20	75
0.003	333	408
0.002	500	908
0.001	1,075	1,983

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
.Menthe	Yes	50
a5533	Yes	41.01
glm404.fund	Yes	40
Haradwaith	Yes	20.1
rubby1337	Yes	20
0xC29ecEDb1F9c40AaDE3aFeE50a7bd9EA433c3068-1789545518801	Yes	13.5
TENETENET	Yes	10
bjprolo	Yes	10
gogogo-v3	Yes	5
triklozoid	Yes	5
aHjCz	Yes	1.5
brownoreo	No	81.11
0xa5ef…2966	No	75
bubububblebutt	No	50
0x9a9EcCC770987aF75fbC850cb9d2F7BEe23Cc6E9-1768170850546	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:34:56	BUY	No	0.999	50	$49.95
08:55:42	BUY	No	0.999	20	$19.98
07:13:39	SELL	Yes	0.002	41	$0.08
07:09:57	BUY	No	0.99	10	$9.90
06:01:47	BUY	No	0.982	40	$39.38
05:29:27	BUY	No	0.9451207023	41	$38.76
05:12:06	BUY	Yes	0.06	41	$2.46