Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-08-31
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.044. down 0.031 over the period, from 0.075. Range 0.040 to 0.115. 154 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.048	273	273
0.049	10,000	10,273
0.050	2,034	12,308
0.058	2,213	14,521
0.059	10,200	24,721
0.060	9,022	33,743
0.068	215	33,957
0.070	10,326	44,284
0.078	217	44,501
0.080	10,145	54,646
0.090	2,015	56,661
0.100	2,422	59,083

Spread0.008Mid0.044

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.040	5	5
0.032	200	205
0.030	7,451	7,657
0.029	421	8,078
0.027	200	8,278
0.022	200	8,478
0.021	1,650	10,128
0.020	114,716	124,843
0.018	7	124,850
0.017	200	125,050
0.013	16	125,066
0.012	4,367	129,432

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.960	5	5
0.968	200	205
0.970	7,451	7,657
0.971	421	8,078
0.973	200	8,278
0.978	200	8,478
0.979	1,650	10,128
0.980	114,716	124,843
0.982	7	124,850
0.983	200	125,050
0.987	16	125,066
0.988	4,367	129,432

Spread0.008Mid0.956

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.952	273	273
0.951	10,000	10,273
0.950	2,034	12,308
0.942	2,213	14,521
0.941	10,200	24,721
0.940	9,022	33,743
0.932	215	33,957
0.930	10,326	44,284
0.922	217	44,501
0.920	10,145	54,646
0.910	2,015	56,661
0.900	2,422	59,083

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x8c66E28FbE7Ede7F57bA6CBc70408DfF442944F3-1777220320442	Yes	74,671.41
James000	Yes	72,539.86
88blitzcrank	Yes	63,427.44
polymarketbetter	Yes	56,718.2
RememberAmalek	Yes	20,286.97
Iax	Yes	17,471.22
nchgbhy	Yes	13,451.87
jinq	Yes	11,607.05
Logan.	Yes	9,576.02
meagainsttheworld	Yes	6,564.28
JohanDON	Yes	5,821.43
de5nuts	Yes	5,325
5038813185	Yes	4,611.68
Rebecca-95	Yes	4,499.59
aenews2	Yes	4,444.21
0x0DC5A561aF3E3d14BEc8b8fc7ef2C0776252A303-1767933810654	Yes	4,094
pbshine	Yes	4,071.78
D33pCynic	Yes	4,038.33
0xacC971b4A2D67c5efb9e5d3B19e137F65f54c790-1775589695260	Yes	2,799.98
AgricultureSecretary	Yes	1,999.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:43:39	SELL	Yes	0.03	66	$1.99
22:43:39	SELL	No	0.96	5	$5.27
22:43:38	SELL	Yes	0.03048	63	$1.91
22:24:29	SELL	No	0.96	118	$113.50
22:24:29	BUY	No	0.96	5	$4.93
21:53:38	SELL	No	0.96	5	$4.93
21:51:33	BUY	No	0.96	7	$6.30
20:52:12	BUY	No	0.96	4	$3.36
20:52:09	BUY	No	0.96	10,299	$9886.68
20:04:08	BUY	No	0.95	6	$5.24
18:35:50	BUY	Yes	0.0599999946	167	$10.00
18:30:54	BUY	Yes	0.06	80	$4.80
17:25:09	BUY	No	0.95	2,315	$2199.04
17:24:15	BUY	No	0.95	2,000	$1900.00
17:15:45	SELL	No	0.94	8	$7.35
15:12:23	SELL	Yes	0.05	100	$5.00
14:36:23	SELL	Yes	0.05	40	$2.00
14:34:59	SELL	Yes	0.05	4,024	$201.22
13:12:24	SELL	No	0.94	200	$188.00
12:19:06	SELL	No	0.94	45	$41.93
12:18:42	BUY	No	0.94	5	$5.07
12:04:05	SELL	No	0.94	5	$5.07
11:49:39	BUY	No	0.94	5	$5.07
11:06:35	SELL	No	0.94	5	$5.07
11:03:11	SELL	Yes	0.05	1,095	$54.75