Rebecca-95
0x508212fa8e10afce25025422161c15c68b8b049d
- Realised P&L
- $13.8k
- Volume
- $804.9k
- Markets traded
- 154
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded154
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.6kat 0.493US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$4.7kat 0.553Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$2.5kat 0.438Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.550Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$2.1kat 0.475Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 12:08 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.11 | $51.15 |
| 07-29 11:53 | Will two people dissent the July Fed decision? | BUY | 0.45 | $46.35 |
| 07-29 01:16 | Will no one dissent the July Fed decision? | BUY | 0.79 | $118.50 |
| 07-29 01:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $281.57 |
| 07-27 17:13 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.80 |
| 07-26 14:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.42 | $13.26 |
| 07-23 11:15 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.31 | $80.60 |
| 07-23 10:59 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.32 |
| 07-22 16:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $52.02 |
| 07-22 11:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $126.90 |
| 07-20 11:03 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 07-19 04:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $500.00 |
| 07-18 01:45 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.18 | $180.00 |
| 07-16 02:25 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.46 | $182.62 |
| 07-14 04:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $880.00 |