James000
0xc96cb25888f25ab1929b575834a6c406234f6a98
- Realised P&L
- $-218.0k
- Volume
- $4.74M
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $6.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.7kat 0.790Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$15.5kat 0.153Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?
- +$11.3kat 0.955Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$4.0kat 0.937US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.948US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 16:12 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.1016535336 | $1.3k |
| 08-06 11:44 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.0210435548 | $1.0k |
| 08-06 11:44 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.013 | $317.49 |
| 08-01 02:04 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.5047940133 | $16.8k |
| 08-01 02:04 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.145457476 | $5.7k |
| 08-01 02:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.93 | $22.3k |
| 08-01 01:59 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.60 |
| 07-29 13:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.249 | $2.0k |
| 07-29 13:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $2.1k |
| 07-26 09:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.5k |
| 07-26 09:09 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.2213231335 | $22.2k |
| 07-12 03:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999999 | $1.6k |
| 07-12 03:45 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1786250469 | $16.4k |
| 07-02 07:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.997 | $18.0k |
| 06-17 05:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.7k |