0xacC971b4A2D67c5efb9e5d3B19e137F65f54c790-1775589695260
0xacc971b4a2d67c5efb9e5d3b19e137f65f54c790
- Realised P&L
- $-8.5k
- Volume
- $580.6k
- Markets traded
- 366
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded366
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.149England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5
- +$1.8kat 0.117Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$1.6kat 0.467Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$1.5kat 0.493Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5
- +$1.4kat 0.305Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:57 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0798217521 | $895.63 |
| 08-01 07:56 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.041 | $42.76 |
| 08-01 07:52 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.045 | $310.14 |
| 08-01 07:52 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.044 | $88.32 |
| 08-01 07:51 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.09 | $900.00 |
| 07-31 22:23 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $297.85 |
| 07-26 12:50 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 07-26 12:47 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0087516438 | $103.83 |
| 07-26 12:46 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $63.87 |
| 07-26 12:46 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $400.00 |
| 07-25 19:32 | Iran full airspace closure by July 27? | BUY | 0.07 | $223.55 |
| 07-25 19:32 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $298.42 |
| 07-24 18:36 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 07-24 18:36 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.33 | $154.40 |
| 07-24 18:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.7k |