PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xacC971b4A2D67c5efb9e5d3B19e137F65f54c790-1775589695260

0xacc971b4a2d67c5efb9e5d3b19e137f65f54c790

Realised P&L
$-10.7k
Volume
$588.1k
Markets traded
366
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded366
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2670.175$1.4k−$727.80
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1400.065$227.50−$262.50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.3300.130$60.83−$93.58
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Over0.2300.000$0.00−$276.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$212.94
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2520.000$0.00−$202.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$129.15
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-05-02? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00−$154.00
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$116.01
Iran full airspace closure by July 27? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$1.2k
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 DR Congo? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$66.01
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5) · Cavaliers0.3000.000$0.00−$190.11
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners · Over0.4300.000$0.00−$301.00
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.0900.000$0.00−$92.48
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.5920.000$0.00−$552.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 07:57Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0798217521$895.63
08-01 07:56Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.041$42.76
08-01 07:52Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.045$310.14
08-01 07:52Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.044$88.32
08-01 07:51Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.09$900.00
07-31 22:23Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.08$297.85
07-26 12:50Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.14$0.70
07-26 12:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0087516438$103.83
07-26 12:46Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.06$63.87
07-26 12:46Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$400.00
07-25 19:32Iran full airspace closure by July 27?BUY0.07$223.55
07-25 19:32Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.17$298.42
07-24 18:36Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.22$44.00
07-24 18:36Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.33$154.40
07-24 18:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.29$1.7k