PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xacC971b4A2D67c5efb9e5d3B19e137F65f54c790-1775589695260

0xacc971b4a2d67c5efb9e5d3b19e137f65f54c790

Realised P&L
$-8.5k
Volume
$580.6k
Markets traded
366
Open portfolio
$4.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded366
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2670.205$1.6k$490.98
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes0.0840.055$908.77$485.02
Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0800.060$673.22$222.40
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0520.021$601.32$852.84
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1400.120$420.00$70.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.1630.110$231.55$111.15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? · Yes0.0600.044$123.20$44.80
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? · Yes0.0630.030$120.00$133.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.3300.175$81.88$72.52
Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.036$38.07$4.69
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? · Yes0.0170.001$3.61$116.44
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Over0.2300.000$0.00$276.00
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$212.94
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2530.000$0.00$202.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$125.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 07:57Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0798217521$895.63
08-01 07:56Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.041$42.76
08-01 07:52Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.045$310.14
08-01 07:52Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.044$88.32
08-01 07:51Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.09$900.00
07-31 22:23Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?BUY0.08$297.85
07-26 12:50Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.14$0.70
07-26 12:47Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.0087516438$103.83
07-26 12:46Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.06$63.87
07-26 12:46Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$400.00
07-25 19:32Iran full airspace closure by July 27?BUY0.07$223.55
07-25 19:32Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.17$298.42
07-24 18:36Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.22$44.00
07-24 18:36Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.33$154.40
07-24 18:33Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.29$1.7k