dilution
0xfa2a9ffc9953cce115b8e855377822e201a5c1fa
- Realised P&L
- $-604.52
- Volume
- $285.1k
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $10.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$683.56at 0.540US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$442.10at 0.913US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$197.60at 0.755Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
- +$138.19at 0.903Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
- +$122.01at 0.890Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 09:18 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.74 | $740.00 |
| 09-18 22:52 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | BUY | 0.9291662059 | $857.07 |
| 09-04 17:53 | Over $30M committed to the Ethos public sale? | BUY | 0.998 | $59.88 |
| 07-24 12:04 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | SELL | 0.974 | $23.24 |
| 07-24 11:46 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $38.50 |
| 07-24 09:24 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $66.40 |
| 07-24 09:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $78.40 |
| 07-24 09:20 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $12.72 |
| 07-24 09:18 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $17.63 |
| 07-24 09:18 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $42.40 |
| 07-24 09:18 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $43.60 |
| 07-24 09:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2292851676 | $191.71 |
| 07-20 17:16 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $270.00 |
| 07-20 11:00 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $86.10 |
| 07-20 11:00 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $206.10 |