Xdxd123
0xf5bd0f1e561a14bb1b527e3b06d59989ae17169a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $556.0k
- Markets traded
- 454
- Open portfolio
- $636.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded454
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$822.10at 0.305Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$469.50at 0.347Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
- +$324.63at 0.415Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$291.23at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9AM ET
- +$230.06at 0.124Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 08:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.32 | $18.00 |
| 09-17 08:22 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0190283008 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 08:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.2999999954 | $13.00 |
| 09-17 08:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.0914285714 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 00:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 07:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? | BUY | 0.4899999993 | $60.26 |
| 09-16 07:07 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 16? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 07:07 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 16? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 07:06 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 16? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-16 06:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999992 | $48.00 |
| 09-16 06:18 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.1315382235 | $34.00 |
| 09-16 06:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.020519485 | $24.00 |
| 09-16 06:07 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.64 | $78.24 |
| 09-16 06:06 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0418897637 | $19.00 |
| 09-15 15:29 | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | BUY | 0.1329999999 | $3.00 |