0xE9C17bd27e3eddb0ddEB2DA292ca67F882EbE713-1766860236205
0xe9c17bd27e3eddb0ddeb2da292ca67f882ebe713
- Realised P&L
- $-227.40
- Volume
- $82.6k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $46.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$430.54at 0.046Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
- +$76.08at 0.153Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$24.40at 0.022Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?
- +$21.91at 0.182Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 3?
- +$15.92at 0.260Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 08:02 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in July? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 07-03 22:02 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.82 |
| 07-03 22:01 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.53 |
| 07-03 03:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.43 |
| 07-03 03:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.83 |
| 07-02 02:25 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5574999003 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 02:22 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 02:20 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the July interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.017 | $0.14 |
| 07-02 02:10 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.92 |
| 07-02 02:06 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in July? | BUY | 0.0689999459 | $1.10 |
| 07-02 02:01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $168 in July? | BUY | 0.1299999043 | $1.10 |
| 07-02 02:01 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $176 in July? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 02:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in July? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 02:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 01:59 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |