Victoria909
0xe8dcfaefc9848ba7f965e42967ba8febcbad7416
- Realised P&L
- $-415.86
- Volume
- $73.9k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $23.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.25at 0.076Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September?
- +$20.07at 0.511Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 79-80°F on August 8?
- +$18.10at 0.580Will Bitcoin dip to $111K in August?
- +$17.36at 0.054Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
- +$16.07at 0.380Will "Freakier Friday" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 19:44 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:41 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0069305559 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.0205882154 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.0098814229 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C or higher on June 27? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:36 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:36 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? | BUY | 0.0067906445 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:30 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.045999957 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:27 | Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:27 | Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.02180569 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:27 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0238040687 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:27 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1529998871 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 19:26 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0259731259 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 19:26 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0068829471 | $0.46 |