Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-28

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.004 to 0.011. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	126,338	126,338
0.005	4,000	130,338
0.006	500	130,838
0.008	4,994	135,832
0.009	26,030	161,862
0.010	13,613	175,475
0.012	4,000	179,475
0.013	2,500	181,975
0.017	6,000	187,975
0.019	46	188,021
0.020	30	188,051
0.021	3,700	191,751

Spread0.001Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.003	248,113	248,113
0.002	2,310,250	2,558,363
0.001	2,098,628	4,656,991

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.997	248,113	248,113
0.998	2,310,250	2,558,363
0.999	2,098,628	4,656,991

Spread0.001Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	126,338	126,338
0.995	4,000	130,338
0.994	500	130,838
0.992	4,994	135,832
0.991	26,030	161,862
0.990	13,613	175,475
0.988	4,000	179,475
0.987	2,500	181,975
0.983	6,000	187,975
0.981	46	188,021
0.980	30	188,051
0.979	3,700	191,751

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
m00n	Yes	193,585.77
kod.cip	Yes	68,201.93
5xxtuewiogvukhjt2623	Yes	49,999.97
cigarettes	Yes	21,046.52
tetrose	Yes	16,708.05
ethBELIVER	Yes	16,228.71
zouzouzou123	Yes	9,303.28
lqbeijing	Yes	8,673.26
purplegatto	Yes	7,611.8
fiter	Yes	5,994.37
0xb9d0bbbB14b5FC108Fb9b4007CED9C77dB6E50cc-1772976105068	Yes	5,887.36
0x5CCfD6a813da36425564cbDD3ae4FCAf9fA51188-1768630718005	Yes	5,732.95
semi-semi-	Yes	5,691.59
EirikL	Yes	5,263.16
ttyoo	Yes	5,000
kingt	Yes	4,935.13
Smellytrader23	Yes	3,123.49
namomo788	Yes	3,095.07
RememberAmalek	Yes	2,982.52
0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b	Yes	2,905.87

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:54:06	BUY	Yes	0.004	583	$2.33
01:38:46	BUY	No	0.997	500	$498.50
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.997	40	$39.88
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.997	100	$99.70
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.997	100	$100.11
01:38:45	BUY	No	0.997	1,200	$1196.40
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.997	81	$81.16
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.997	100	$99.70
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.997	30	$29.91
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.997	1,500	$1495.50
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.997	10	$9.97
01:15:12	BUY	No	0.997	6	$6.04
00:27:45	BUY	Yes	0.004	250	$1.00
23:48:21	BUY	Yes	0.004	300	$1.20
22:19:31	SELL	No	0.996	15	$14.71
22:19:28	BUY	Yes	0.004	5,692	$22.77
21:42:09	BUY	No	0.997	4,500	$4486.50
21:25:40	SELL	Yes	0.003	250	$0.75
21:24:31	BUY	Yes	0.004	250	$1.00
21:07:55	BUY	Yes	0.004	250	$1.00
21:07:55	BUY	Yes	0.004	290	$1.16
21:07:45	SELL	Yes	0.003	2,017	$6.05
21:05:55	SELL	No	0.996	20	$19.46
21:05:55	SELL	No	0.996	20	$20.07
21:05:55	SELL	No	0.996	24	$24.32