Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-28

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.018. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.023. Range 0.018 to 0.024. 159 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.019	1,439	1,439
0.020	100	1,539
0.021	100	1,639
0.022	100	1,739
0.023	433	2,172
0.024	748	2,920
0.025	100	3,020
0.026	150	3,170
0.027	100	3,270
0.028	1,390	4,660
0.030	1,020	5,680
0.039	902	6,582

Spread0.001Mid0.018

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.018	100	100
0.014	100	200
0.013	1,938	2,138
0.012	1,857	3,995
0.011	100	4,095
0.010	6,820	10,915
0.009	100	11,015
0.008	100	11,115
0.007	814	11,929
0.006	11,933	23,862
0.005	111,100	134,962
0.004	306,350	441,312

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.982	100	100
0.986	100	200
0.987	1,938	2,138
0.988	1,857	3,995
0.989	100	4,095
0.990	6,820	10,915
0.991	100	11,015
0.992	100	11,115
0.993	814	11,929
0.994	11,933	23,862
0.995	111,100	134,962
0.996	306,350	441,312

Spread0.001Mid0.982

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.981	1,439	1,439
0.980	100	1,539
0.979	100	1,639
0.978	100	1,739
0.977	433	2,172
0.976	748	2,920
0.975	100	3,020
0.974	150	3,170
0.973	100	3,270
0.972	1,390	4,660
0.970	1,020	5,680
0.961	902	6,582

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x5CCfD6a813da36425564cbDD3ae4FCAf9fA51188-1768630718005	Yes	5,732.95
EirikL	Yes	5,263.16
Cashmeowio	Yes	1,897.53
liq2	Yes	1,368.5
ttwong1	Yes	1,053.56
Sosei	Yes	1,001.04
BigDon	Yes	858.17
alwayslatetotheparty	Yes	738.78
0x9725F242d728723eED0C76639aF39D013D8646d0-1775475036449	Yes	522.3
neutralwave23	Yes	454.76
0x3bc0128888f91625497E3CF5Fc71FB505C3f93E4-1774458317329	Yes	424.18
tr33dr	Yes	416.67
bloomfaner	Yes	410.02
jinwujinshu	Yes	408.76
0x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-1761723227494	Yes	400
ssumit	Yes	333.47
wozaitaibei	Yes	330
Denison	Yes	324.57
Oxmani	Yes	321.74
v1notlost	Yes	292.65

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:30:09	BUY	Yes	0.0189999817	53	$1.00
22:15:00	SELL	Yes	0.01591968	500	$7.96
22:11:45	BUY	Yes	0.019	500	$9.50
14:57:12	SELL	No	0.981	1	$1.09
14:55:24	BUY	No	0.982	1	$1.12
13:50:09	BUY	No	0.9819999985	8	$7.73
13:50:00	BUY	No	0.981	53	$52.10
13:49:59	BUY	No	0.981	50	$49.05
13:49:59	BUY	No	0.981	157	$154.03
13:49:56	BUY	No	0.98	100	$98.00
13:49:54	BUY	No	0.9807581622	59	$58.28
13:49:54	BUY	No	0.98	40	$39.20
03:07:29	SELL	No	0.979	1	$0.99
03:06:39	BUY	No	0.98	1	$1.00
22:50:44	BUY	No	0.98	107	$104.61
22:36:03	BUY	No	0.98	40	$39.20
17:49:02	BUY	No	0.98	19	$18.62
17:24:17	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
16:20:05	BUY	No	0.98	69	$67.62
16:19:54	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
14:17:17	BUY	No	0.98	10	$9.80
13:10:08	BUY	Yes	0.0209999979	455	$9.55
10:01:41	SELL	Yes	0.0204800077	208	$4.27
08:28:50	BUY	No	0.979	100	$97.90
07:07:29	BUY	Yes	0.0225490152	222	$5.00