0xe21c988658b355ce240eab9fb68201343608447a
0xe21c988658b355ce240eab9fb68201343608447a
- Realised P&L
- $136.69
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $437.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.42at 0.460Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$34.58at 0.006US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?
- +$10.13at 0.457Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$5.10at 0.320Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.82at 0.940Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:34 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $14.99 |
| 10-05 22:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.79 |
| 10-05 20:55 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.94 | $14.87 |
| 10-05 20:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.23 |
| 10-05 18:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.12 |
| 10-05 18:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.12 |
| 10-05 17:19 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8257796823 | $39.51 |
| 10-05 15:03 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $5.63 |
| 10-05 14:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.77 |
| 10-05 14:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $0.37 |
| 10-05 14:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.76 |
| 10-05 14:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.57 |
| 10-05 14:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.22 |
| 10-05 13:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.04 |
| 10-05 13:54 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.41 |