kellan84614
0xdc721d20d9b9453aec31b7c26323e50dc45075d9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.58
- Volume
- $190.00
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $34.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.47at 0.590Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$2.42at 0.298Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
- +$2.41at 0.300Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
- +$1.61at 0.387Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$1.48at 0.407Will England win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 16:01 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 15? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 16:00 | Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 16:00 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.256 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 11:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5859999777 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 17:15 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2279998714 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 05:13 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 07:52 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 07:51 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.162499868 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 07:50 | Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.1889998571 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 07:49 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5049997551 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 12:27 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 06:36 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 06:34 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.7439998214 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 06:33 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999757 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 06:31 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.387999851 | $1.00 |