0xD8d3cf3c09C5cC5BB329E689719c4ed9fCD6ff72-1761073382643
0xd8d3cf3c09c5cc5bb329e689719c4ed9fcd6ff72
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $367.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,118
- Open portfolio
- $2.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,118
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$470.98at 0.418Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$428.42at 0.091Jair Bolsonaro in jail by November 30?
- +$316.14at 0.340Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2025-11-08?
- +$292.00at 0.270Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
- +$270.92at 0.018Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 23:21 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999598 | $4.81 |
| 09-12 23:18 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6003365992 | $4.97 |
| 09-12 22:33 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $4.95 |
| 09-12 17:06 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 09-12 13:06 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999503 | $3.75 |
| 09-12 12:18 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999984 | $4.14 |
| 09-12 07:33 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5863565512 | $3.72 |
| 09-12 07:06 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999796 | $4.02 |
| 09-12 06:03 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999719 | $4.13 |
| 09-12 05:31 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999795 | $4.98 |
| 09-12 03:48 | Solana Up or Down - September 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $4.96 |
| 09-12 02:40 | Solana Up or Down - September 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.2674074074 | $2.89 |
| 09-12 02:33 | Solana Up or Down - September 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6299999898 | $4.96 |
| 09-12 02:21 | Solana Up or Down - September 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 02:18 | Solana Up or Down - September 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $4.93 |