PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD8d3cf3c09C5cC5BB329E689719c4ed9fCD6ff72-1761073382643

0xd8d3cf3c09c5cc5bb329e689719c4ed9fcd6ff72

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$370.0k
Markets traded
1,118
Open portfolio
$110.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,118
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6240.850$39.75+$10.58
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.1060.259$14.93+$8.84
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.3960.972$9.71+$5.76
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? · No0.8450.951$9.51+$1.05
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election? · Yes0.0200.016$7.68−$1.92
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.5000.745$7.45+$2.45
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0830.245$6.13+$4.04
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? · No0.7070.991$4.95+$1.42
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.7300.989$4.94+$1.29
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.8600.861$4.30+$0.00
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0830.013$0.31−$1.77
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.3640.013$0.26−$7.02
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.4580.002$0.07−$22.84
Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.2830.001$0.05−$12.92
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.004$0.02−$0.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 23:21Solana Up or Down - September 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.6899999598$4.81
09-12 23:18Solana Up or Down - September 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.6003365992$4.97
09-12 22:33Solana Up or Down - September 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ETBUY0.64$4.95
09-12 17:06Solana Up or Down - September 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.75$3.75
09-12 13:06Solana Up or Down - September 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.6899999503$3.75
09-12 12:18Solana Up or Down - September 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.6699999984$4.14
09-12 07:33Solana Up or Down - September 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.5863565512$3.72
09-12 07:06Solana Up or Down - September 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETBUY0.6299999796$4.02
09-12 06:03Solana Up or Down - September 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.5799999719$4.13
09-12 05:31Solana Up or Down - September 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.7299999795$4.98
09-12 03:48Solana Up or Down - September 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.64$4.96
09-12 02:40Solana Up or Down - September 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.2674074074$2.89
09-12 02:33Solana Up or Down - September 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.6299999898$4.96
09-12 02:21Solana Up or Down - September 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.6$3.00
09-12 02:18Solana Up or Down - September 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.58$4.93