PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

mveland

0xd42a8c00d5d43187b8f280381780184e2bd6eff8

Realised P&L
$-86.18
Volume
$769.50
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$295.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-11.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.945$22.60+$0.60
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9600.995$20.72+$0.72
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9590.981$19.42+$0.43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5300.860$16.23+$6.23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9170.960$14.64+$0.64
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8200.961$11.71+$1.71
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7700.845$10.97+$0.97
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.8700.925$10.63+$0.63
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026? · No0.9370.964$10.28+$0.28
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No0.9550.974$10.19+$0.19
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · No0.9200.981$9.59+$0.59
Natural Disaster in 2026? · No0.5300.795$9.00+$3.00
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.8750.935$7.48+$0.48
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? · No0.9790.997$7.13+$0.13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8800.835$6.64$0.36

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 11:29Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.5749998994$2.00
07-05 11:29Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9199999983$22.00
07-05 11:28Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8799999095$7.00
07-05 11:27Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.9599999654$20.00
07-05 11:26Netanyahu out by end of 2026?BUY0.549999956$5.00
07-05 11:26Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9399997838$4.00
07-05 11:25Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?BUY0.8699999913$3.00
07-05 11:24Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88999998$4.00
07-05 11:24Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.8699999913$2.00
07-05 11:23Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.92$4.00
07-05 11:23Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.92$1.00
07-05 11:22Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9639998882$4.00
07-05 11:21Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
07-05 11:20Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9499995725$2.00
07-05 11:20Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?BUY0.91$1.00