mveland
0xd42a8c00d5d43187b8f280381780184e2bd6eff8
- Realised P&L
- $-86.18
- Volume
- $769.50
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $295.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.53at 0.190Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.59at 0.820Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$5.37at 0.788U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$3.69at 0.520Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?
- +$3.16at 0.740Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 11:29 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.5749998994 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 11:29 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999983 | $22.00 |
| 07-05 11:28 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999095 | $7.00 |
| 07-05 11:27 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9599999654 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 11:26 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 11:26 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399997838 | $4.00 |
| 07-05 11:25 | Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $3.00 |
| 07-05 11:24 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88999998 | $4.00 |
| 07-05 11:24 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 11:23 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.00 |
| 07-05 11:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 11:22 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9639998882 | $4.00 |
| 07-05 11:21 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 11:20 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499995725 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 11:20 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |