cutieboy
0xcd805e1720fddea4b1874a2fb790916146967e2c
- Realised P&L
- $16.2k
- Volume
- $318.7k
- Markets traded
- 299
- Open portfolio
- $837.65
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded299
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No | 0.912 | 0.958 | $290.73 | +$13.82 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.597 | 0.840 | $185.31 | +$53.61 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.962 | $109.40 | +$10.41 |
| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.055 | $77.55 | −$189.95 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No | 0.890 | 0.968 | $58.05 | +$4.65 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.983 | $48.15 | +$3.06 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.970 | 0.997 | $29.89 | +$0.80 |
| US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.964 | $29.88 | +$1.05 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.270 | 0.141 | $5.75 | −$5.20 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.189 | 0.046 | $2.32 | −$7.12 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.002 | $0.61 | −$3.44 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.8kat 0.564Yoon reinstated as President before July?
- +$8.0kat 0.678Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?
- +$2.2kat 0.999Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
- +$2.1kat 0.466Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
- +$390.00at 0.220US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 22:42 | US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $10.33 |
| 06-07 22:41 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $45.09 |
| 06-07 22:39 | MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 06-07 22:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.992 | $136.80 |
| 06-03 16:06 | Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.24 |
| 06-03 16:05 | Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | SELL | 0.97 | $17.29 |
| 06-03 15:24 | Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3616539861 | $10.93 |
| 06-03 15:08 | Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 06-03 15:08 | Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 05-28 13:08 | Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | SELL | 0.976 | $97.60 |
| 05-23 22:48 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | SELL | 0.89 | $289.37 |
| 05-23 22:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.803 | $8.03 |
| 05-23 22:15 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.805 | $12.08 |
| 05-23 22:14 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.994 | $51.03 |
| 05-23 22:14 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.94 | $119.52 |