PolyBot

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Traders

PragueSizeLord

0xca2d945f95696725afb3cf9e4524b1e6e281a538

Realised P&L
$-12.29
Volume
$17.6k
Markets traded
324
Open portfolio
$83.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded324
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 08:11Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.1199999976$4.00
10-11 07:54Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
10-11 07:38Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.119999999$5.00
10-10 21:26Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.1199999976$2.00
10-10 21:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.83$12.20
10-10 21:23Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.08$5.00
10-10 21:22Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
09-26 19:30Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.649999974$5.00
09-26 19:30Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.339999985$5.00
08-28 15:22US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.012$0.91
08-23 17:28Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.149999976$5.00
08-23 17:27Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?BUY0.0189999908$2.00
08-23 17:26Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.004$1.00
08-23 12:39Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSELL0.92$9.20
08-23 12:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.2$1.00