PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

grglu

0xc823005e4384c590e9bdbb2e62851b69ee9f9ec7

Realised P&L
$-139.05
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$53.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2800.165$11.80$8.20
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2300.095$6.20$8.80
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2300.065$5.65$14.35
US military draft authorized in 2026? · Yes0.1000.033$4.88$10.13
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? · Yes0.0430.167$3.91+$2.91
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.5780.954$3.30+$1.30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0510.142$2.79+$1.79
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2860.095$1.66$3.34
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.4100.515$1.26+$0.26
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.1900.230$1.21+$0.21
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.6000.650$1.08+$0.08
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.6400.255$0.80$1.20
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.2000.155$0.78$0.23
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes0.0390.028$0.71$0.29
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.0800.055$0.69$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 11:59Will Trump say "Fake News" during his remarks in Arlington?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-10 11:52Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-04 10:26Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?BUY0.4$1.00
09-04 10:22Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
09-04 10:21Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?BUY0.5699994984$1.00
08-06 12:06Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6$1.00
07-29 09:03Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-28 11:14Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
07-28 11:13Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
07-28 11:06Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.4$1.00
07-28 11:05Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
07-27 09:14Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?BUY0.447999948$2.00
07-27 09:09Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
07-24 10:19Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?BUY0.33999983$1.00
07-21 11:54Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg?BUY0.5129999446$1.00