grglu
0xc823005e4384c590e9bdbb2e62851b69ee9f9ec7
- Realised P&L
- $-139.05
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $53.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.69at 0.130Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
- +$3.33at 0.600Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Trump say "Fake News" during his remarks in Arlington?
- +$2.46at 0.448Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?
- +$2.29at 0.309Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 11:59 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during his remarks in Arlington? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 11:52 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 10:26 | Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 10:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 10:21 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.5699994984 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 12:06 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 09:03 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 in July? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:14 | Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:13 | Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:06 | Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 11:05 | Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 09:14 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July? | BUY | 0.447999948 | $2.00 |
| 07-27 09:09 | Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 10:19 | Will Trump say "Iran" 3+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 11:54 | Will Frank Chikane be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | BUY | 0.5129999446 | $1.00 |