ct1989
0xc1cec52b4c42cf8bb92a74c890054fe4a7182e83
- Realised P&L
- $70.06
- Volume
- $15.2k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $225.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.68at 0.331Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
- +$61.30at 0.482Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$48.34at 0.236Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?
- +$47.56at 0.632First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$40.00at 0.500Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 14:24 | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in September? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 09:25 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.2589999974 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 13:15 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 11:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 11:15 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $35.00 |
| 09-23 21:08 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | BUY | 0.2019999978 | $17.77 |
| 09-23 14:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 12:40 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 16:24 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 15:25 | Bengals vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 16:36 | Buccaneers vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 11:51 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.344999999 | $30.00 |
| 09-11 11:10 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |