PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Mozckito3

0xb7e60df7408850a820c92393ec82f6392e84d9e3

Realised P&L
$-399.27
Volume
$73.4k
Markets traded
202
Open portfolio
$10.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded202
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0040.003$3.53$1.58
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0250.003$1.47$13.62
Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.050$1.00+$0.02
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.018$0.87$1.01
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0060.002$0.75$2.25
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.053$0.67$0.33
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? · Yes0.1000.039$0.39$0.61
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027? · Yes0.2000.075$0.38$0.63
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.030$0.33$0.67
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · Yes0.0410.011$0.28$0.75
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.1650.016$0.21$1.93
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.018$0.21$0.79
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0150.002$0.10$0.90
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0070.001$0.07$0.93
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 9? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$0.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 10:56Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?BUY0.025$1.47
09-14 10:55Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?SELL0.002$0.24
09-14 10:54Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.002$1.06
09-14 10:48Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.19$31.27
09-12 17:18Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?SELL0.018$0.18
09-12 17:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$1.36
09-12 17:17Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboSELL0.05$0.56
09-12 17:16Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?SELL0.14$0.84
09-11 07:58Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.003$4.11
09-11 07:15Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 11?SELL0.1$1.50
09-07 08:59Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?SELL0.09$0.90
09-06 21:28Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 11?BUY0.07$1.05
09-06 21:27Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 8?BUY0.024$1.01
09-06 21:27Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 9?BUY0.049$1.03
09-06 21:18Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?BUY0.1$1.00