nlandes
0xb387e87691eceeb879e969379fd7dd5af8d4a0a8
- Realised P&L
- $-60.33
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 251
- Open portfolio
- $97.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded251
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.58at 0.100Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?
- +$15.68at 0.247Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?
- +$12.77at 0.439Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
- +$11.53at 0.308SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
- +$8.89at 0.240Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 10:33 | Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.61 |
| 10-03 10:33 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $5.99 |
| 10-03 10:24 | Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 10:24 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $6.06 |
| 09-25 02:02 | Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 02:01 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31? | BUY | 0.7119999909 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 02:00 | Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 01:59 | China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 01:58 | Will France pass a national budget by December 31? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 01:57 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 01:56 | Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? | BUY | 0.7099999517 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 01:55 | Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 01:54 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 00:07 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 20:40 | Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | SELL | 0.843 | $5.72 |