PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

robertoo

0xadaf8d4048a32225db1905ca1cb9368fb0ad6eb9

Realised P&L
$550.04
Volume
$41.9k
Markets traded
218
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded218
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9150.969$370.76+$20.76
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.6790.835$233.69+$43.69
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9371.000$213.37+$13.37
GTA VI released by November 30? · Yes0.9500.930$195.79$4.21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8900.975$164.28+$14.28
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8270.455$123.24$100.76
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.8700.845$114.05$3.37
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.7500.835$111.33+$11.33
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.8520.945$110.89+$10.89
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.715$90.51$9.49
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.0500.045$90.00$10.00
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.4700.960$61.28+$31.28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6300.735$58.33+$8.33
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.9070.457$51.82$51.18
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8400.880$31.43+$1.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 14:26Italy vs. SloveniaBUY0.8181818132$15.00
09-17 14:26Germany vs. BulgariaBUY0.7597402499$15.00
09-16 23:31Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026?BUY0.4$30.00
09-16 23:26Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.05$100.00
09-16 23:22Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.87$97.42
09-16 23:18Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?BUY0.8699999904$20.00
09-16 23:14Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8399999989$30.00
09-15 15:13Netherlands vs. FinlandBUY0.84$5.25
09-15 15:09France vs. GermanyBUY0.76$3.80
09-15 15:09Set Handicap: Poland (-2.5) vs Ukraine (+2.5)BUY0.4$2.00
09-15 14:01France vs. GermanyBUY0.8161258576$50.00
09-15 14:00Netherlands vs. FinlandBUY0.8815505941$50.00
09-15 13:48Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?BUY0.37$3.70
09-15 13:44Netherlands vs. FinlandBUY0.8566666667$25.70
09-15 13:41Belgium vs. DenmarkBUY0.865$86.50