waltermontes5
0xacc67326fb48ae0d757a0afbf4f1c277ddab236d
- Realised P&L
- $-547.75
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 104
- Open portfolio
- $127.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded104
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.66at 0.220Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- +$4.24at 0.190US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
- +$2.50at 0.077MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.32at 0.130GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.59at 0.396Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 19:52 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 14:32 | Vandromme vs. Jorge: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 12:28 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.0749999996 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 13:27 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 12:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 12:30 | Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 15:39 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | BUY | 0.7069998713 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 13:59 | Tulln: Zdenek Kolar vs Alex Barrena | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 12:08 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:54 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 23:47 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 23:45 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $1.22 |
| 09-07 13:23 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9489999763 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 13:36 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8049998591 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 13:36 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |