PolyBot

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Traders

waltermontes5

0xacc67326fb48ae0d757a0afbf4f1c277ddab236d

Realised P&L
$-547.75
Volume
$10.6k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$127.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3090.059$113.48$486.52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4360.395$1.81$0.19
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4300.605$1.41+$0.41
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8700.984$1.13+$0.13
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? · Yes0.2400.270$1.13+$0.13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0370.040$1.07+$0.07
Will Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.920$1.05+$0.05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1600.165$1.03+$0.03
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · Yes0.0200.018$0.88$0.13
Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.8050.679$0.84$0.16
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · Yes0.0800.056$0.69$0.31
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0750.041$0.54$0.46
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.044$0.49$0.51
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? · Yes0.5700.255$0.45$0.55
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · Yes0.0520.021$0.42$0.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 19:522026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4$1.00
09-18 14:32Vandromme vs. Jorge: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.75$1.00
09-17 12:28Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.0749999996$10.00
09-15 13:272026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-14 12:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-13 12:30Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-12 15:39Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?BUY0.7069998713$1.00
09-11 13:59Tulln: Zdenek Kolar vs Alex BarrenaBUY0.84$1.00
09-10 12:08SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 10?BUY0.5899997404$1.00
09-09 12:54Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999928$1.00
09-08 23:47Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-08 23:45Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.72$1.22
09-07 13:23Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 15, 2026?BUY0.9489999763$1.00
09-06 13:36Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8049998591$1.00
09-05 13:36Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8699999913$1.00