waltermontes5
0xacc67326fb48ae0d757a0afbf4f1c277ddab236d
- Realised P&L
- $-226.08
- Volume
- $10.2k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $417.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.66at 0.220Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- +$4.24at 0.190US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
- +$2.65at 0.074MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.42at 0.130GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.50at 0.320Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:48 | Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:54 | Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31? | BUY | 0.1705351757 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:55 | Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 16:34 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999989 | $155.00 |
| 07-31 16:06 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999942 | $25.00 |
| 07-30 20:03 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 13:35 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.3369997823 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 14:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7739994489 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 17:15 | Will Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 14:24 | Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 14:23 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.95 |
| 07-24 12:39 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in August 2026? | BUY | 0.0170000001 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 12:33 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | SELL | 0.043 | $1.11 |
| 07-23 17:23 | San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 12:15 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.7439998214 | $1.00 |