Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.040. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.040. Range 0.037 to 0.040. 146 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.042	239	239
0.043	497	736
0.044	10	746
0.045	510	1,256
0.047	700	1,956
0.049	349	2,305
0.050	150	2,455
0.052	390	2,845
0.055	259	3,104
0.062	170	3,274
0.063	50	3,324
0.069	2,000	5,324

Spread0.005Mid0.040

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.037	182	182
0.035	580	762
0.034	52	814
0.032	55	869
0.031	821	1,690
0.030	32	1,722
0.028	35	1,757
0.027	320	2,077
0.026	259	2,336
0.025	5,000	7,336
0.024	600	7,936
0.023	104	8,040

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.963	182	182
0.965	580	762
0.966	52	814
0.968	55	869
0.969	821	1,690
0.970	32	1,722
0.972	35	1,757
0.973	320	2,077
0.974	259	2,336
0.975	5,000	7,336
0.976	600	7,936
0.977	104	8,040

Spread0.005Mid0.960

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.958	239	239
0.957	497	736
0.956	10	746
0.955	510	1,256
0.953	700	1,956
0.951	349	2,305
0.950	150	2,455
0.948	390	2,845
0.945	259	3,104
0.938	170	3,274
0.937	50	3,324
0.931	2,000	5,324

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Bumblefrog	Yes	3,574.34
gjj7tbmkk763ggg	Yes	1,402.33
Razirback	Yes	207.22
thecaricature	Yes	199.99
rocky42003	Yes	178.16
faceglobally	Yes	149.38
0xfac0…fdd8	Yes	121
Xavyc3	Yes	119.39
ssaxccea	Yes	109.79
MATGG	Yes	100
PK123	Yes	100
MartinaCandombe	Yes	86.26
owednfgm	Yes	83.56
Almeer	Yes	71.43
StasPanda	Yes	56.4
Numitus1994	Yes	51.62
0x052dc9B0E70d75691a7e37d561331d323571b892-1779136474154	Yes	45.2
0x728664d15dBCA2824e226Db993F796199Bf2223a-1771876347194	Yes	44.44
stizzyb	Yes	33.86
elmikebutron	Yes	26.8

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:59:14	SELL	No	0.9585079688	157	$150.96
22:44:26	BUY	No	0.963	6	$5.63
12:47:51	SELL	Yes	0.037	19	$0.72
08:13:56	BUY	No	0.9629999993	10	$10.00
14:00:14	BUY	No	0.9629999996	23	$22.00
02:16:36	SELL	No	0.958	15	$13.89
16:08:42	SELL	No	0.9571483333	6	$5.74
13:34:40	SELL	No	0.958	19	$18.31
00:03:24	BUY	Yes	0.042	50	$2.10
00:02:21	BUY	Yes	0.042	30	$1.26
00:00:25	BUY	Yes	0.04	3	$0.12
13:50:22	BUY	Yes	0.04	100	$4.00
15:40:18	SELL	No	0.96	19	$18.17
15:38:01	SELL	No	0.9612737037	135	$129.77
21:58:33	SELL	No	0.962	5	$4.97
21:58:25	BUY	No	0.9649998849	5	$4.99
12:54:42	SELL	No	0.962	5	$4.97
12:54:34	BUY	No	0.9649998849	5	$4.99
12:34:18	SELL	No	0.9631145959	91	$87.83
11:56:18	SELL	No	0.964	5	$4.98
11:56:10	BUY	No	0.9649998849	5	$4.99
06:28:09	SELL	No	0.962	18	$17.39
22:14:06	BUY	No	0.9649999976	91	$88.00
21:54:51	SELL	No	0.962	6	$5.63
21:54:45	BUY	No	0.9649998693	6	$5.65