Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.026. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.024. Range 0.022 to 0.026. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.032	15	15
0.033	266	281
0.034	243	524
0.036	323	848
0.037	200	1,048
0.038	238	1,286
0.039	260	1,546
0.040	564	2,110
0.043	45	2,156
0.044	300	2,456
0.045	200	2,656
0.047	485	3,141

Spread0.012Mid0.026

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.020	103	103
0.019	287	390
0.017	22	412
0.012	308	720
0.011	540	1,260
0.010	900	2,160
0.009	2,844	5,003
0.008	4,213	9,217
0.007	6,859	16,076
0.006	7,761	23,837
0.005	10,000	33,837
0.004	21,563	55,399

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.980	103	103
0.981	287	390
0.983	22	412
0.988	308	720
0.989	540	1,260
0.990	900	2,160
0.991	2,844	5,003
0.992	4,213	9,217
0.993	6,859	16,076
0.994	7,761	23,837
0.995	10,000	33,837
0.996	21,563	55,399

Spread0.012Mid0.974

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.968	15	15
0.967	266	281
0.966	243	524
0.964	323	848
0.963	200	1,048
0.962	238	1,286
0.961	260	1,546
0.960	564	2,110
0.957	45	2,156
0.956	300	2,456
0.955	200	2,656
0.953	485	3,141

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Bumblefrog	Yes	3,574.34
gjj7tbmkk763ggg	Yes	1,402.33
0xfa39…977f	Yes	459.14
thecaricature	Yes	299.95
planktonXD	Yes	265.68
Razirback	Yes	207.22
rocky42003	Yes	178.16
faceglobally	Yes	149.38
0xfac0…fdd8	Yes	121
ssaxccea	Yes	109.79
MATGG	Yes	100
PK123	Yes	100
MartinaCandombe	Yes	86.26
owednfgm	Yes	83.56
Numitus1994	Yes	79.85
Almeer	Yes	71.43
StasPanda	Yes	56.4
0x052dc9B0E70d75691a7e37d561331d323571b892-1779136474154	Yes	45.2
0x728664d15dBCA2824e226Db993F796199Bf2223a-1771876347194	Yes	44.44
0xe851…8539	Yes	40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
19:25:24	SELL	No	0.968	20	$19.36
07:36:39	SELL	No	0.975	11	$10.25
08:32:40	SELL	No	0.975	8	$7.82
00:20:25	SELL	No	0.975	10	$9.28
13:52:28	SELL	No	0.975	9	$9.05
09:17:43	SELL	No	0.975	7	$6.99
03:28:15	BUY	No	0.9769994622	1	$1.19
02:17:06	SELL	Yes	0.023	42	$0.97
11:36:25	BUY	Yes	0.025	40	$1.00
08:55:30	SELL	No	0.968	4	$3.84
07:24:58	BUY	No	0.976	7	$7.00
02:23:25	BUY	No	0.976	10	$10.00
01:37:51	BUY	No	0.976	25	$24.00
02:59:37	SELL	No	0.967	23	$22.09
02:46:54	BUY	No	0.974	13	$13.00
02:26:51	BUY	No	0.9739999998	21	$20.00
01:58:40	BUY	No	0.9739999991	25	$24.00
08:46:37	BUY	No	0.974	13	$13.00
07:53:16	BUY	No	0.9739999998	21	$20.00
07:24:51	BUY	No	0.9739999994	22	$21.00
03:25:12	BUY	No	0.9739999994	24	$23.00
03:20:31	BUY	No	0.9739999804	16	$16.00
02:37:16	BUY	No	0.973999952	11	$11.00
02:17:37	BUY	No	0.973999952	11	$11.00
02:09:13	BUY	No	0.9739999994	14	$14.00