Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-06
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.22. Range 0.17 to 0.22. 61 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	155	155
0.19	1,742	1,897
0.20	1,860	3,757
0.21	480	4,237
0.22	547	4,783
0.23	144	4,927
0.24	672	5,599
0.25	462	6,061
0.26	596	6,658
0.27	345	7,003
0.28	305	7,308
0.29	490	7,798

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	1,764	1,764
0.16	1,438	3,202
0.15	4,028	7,230
0.14	5,079	12,309
0.13	1,399	13,708
0.09	1,199	14,907
0.07	148	15,055
0.06	167	15,222
0.05	220	15,442
0.04	330	15,772
0.03	568	16,339
0.02	250	16,589

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	1,764	1,764
0.84	1,438	3,202
0.85	4,028	7,230
0.86	5,079	12,309
0.87	1,399	13,708
0.91	1,199	14,907
0.93	148	15,055
0.94	167	15,222
0.95	220	15,442
0.96	330	15,772
0.97	568	16,339
0.98	250	16,589

Spread0.01Mid0.82

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	155	155
0.81	1,742	1,897
0.80	1,860	3,757
0.79	480	4,237
0.78	547	4,783
0.77	144	4,927
0.76	672	5,599
0.75	462	6,061
0.74	596	6,658
0.73	345	7,003
0.72	305	7,308
0.71	490	7,798

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
fghsrthrhrshrsth	Yes	5,000
Angeredbees	Yes	4,998
Poiuztrewq	Yes	3,800
smalltimezzz	Yes	3,644.91
sebyastiens	Yes	1,500
pykue	Yes	755
globall	Yes	400
0xd0D82390736282E63B4Cdd9d6854f8CaFf4A3393-1715955170566	Yes	300
2B9S	Yes	250
TaigerTeam	Yes	249
0x7bc3E4534D5320CB6056762962A8dFa831abf868-1773057330930	Yes	196.07
Bitgod	Yes	149.99
neverhackme	Yes	147.9
Kratos777	Yes	115
rains45	Yes	105
apostadorTurco	Yes	104.55
benjaminproject	Yes	99.99
suntori	Yes	95.2
oboltusovao	Yes	55
alienhand	Yes	45.45

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:57:26	SELL	Yes	0.17	51	$8.67
14:48:27	BUY	Yes	0.1799999856	6	$1.00
14:21:08	BUY	Yes	0.1799999856	11	$2.00
14:08:20	BUY	No	0.83	10	$8.30
13:38:26	BUY	No	0.83	30	$24.90
13:38:26	BUY	No	0.82	44	$36.08
13:34:26	BUY	Yes	0.19	300	$57.00
13:00:23	BUY	Yes	0.19	300	$57.00
12:48:42	BUY	Yes	0.1899999962	11	$2.00
12:41:41	SELL	No	0.81	124	$100.80
12:41:39	BUY	Yes	0.19	755	$143.45
12:41:39	BUY	Yes	0.19	90	$17.01
12:41:08	BUY	Yes	0.19	115	$21.85
12:26:44	BUY	No	0.82	8	$6.72
12:26:44	BUY	No	0.82	48	$39.19
11:49:29	BUY	No	0.81	40	$32.40
10:53:33	BUY	No	0.8130720626	133	$108.09
10:51:21	BUY	No	0.81	8	$6.40
09:53:12	BUY	Yes	0.2	25	$5.00
09:15:15	SELL	Yes	0.19	10	$1.90
09:12:33	BUY	Yes	0.2	400	$80.00
08:43:56	BUY	Yes	0.2	10	$2.00
06:30:18	BUY	No	0.81	14	$11.34
06:30:17	SELL	Yes	0.19	200	$38.00
06:22:41	BUY	Yes	0.2	5	$1.00