Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-09
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.18. Range 0.15 to 0.18. 56 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	524	524
0.18	1,484	2,008
0.19	1,241	3,249
0.20	1,666	4,914
0.21	480	5,394
0.22	1,157	6,551
0.23	1,013	7,565
0.24	483	8,048
0.25	628	8,676
0.26	613	9,289
0.27	483	9,772
0.28	533	10,305

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	33	33
0.15	1,222	1,255
0.14	1,760	3,016
0.13	5,500	8,516
0.12	300	8,816
0.11	200	9,016
0.10	500	9,516
0.07	286	9,802
0.06	333	10,135
0.05	300	10,435
0.04	375	10,810
0.03	733	11,544

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	33	33
0.85	1,222	1,255
0.86	1,760	3,016
0.87	5,500	8,516
0.88	300	8,816
0.89	200	9,016
0.90	500	9,516
0.93	286	9,802
0.94	333	10,135
0.95	300	10,435
0.96	375	10,810
0.97	733	11,544

Spread0.01Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	524	524
0.82	1,484	2,008
0.81	1,241	3,249
0.80	1,666	4,914
0.79	480	5,394
0.78	1,157	6,551
0.77	1,013	7,565
0.76	483	8,048
0.75	628	8,676
0.74	613	9,289
0.73	483	9,772
0.72	533	10,305

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Angeredbees	Yes	4,986.61
smalltimezzz	Yes	3,760.9
Poiuztrewq	Yes	3,433.05
hulitest2025	Yes	3,249.25
sebyastiens	Yes	1,000
plymbus	Yes	501.75
Mei-ji	Yes	500
Threepeeo	Yes	483.53
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	Yes	171.47
neverhackme	Yes	113.28
suntori	Yes	112
0xd0D82390736282E63B4Cdd9d6854f8CaFf4A3393-1715955170566	Yes	99.99
0x7bc3E4534D5320CB6056762962A8dFa831abf868-1773057330930	Yes	91.91
benjaminproject	Yes	88.24
alienhand	Yes	88.24
oboltusovao	Yes	80.01
YANIVALTALEV	Yes	58.82
CloverJat	Yes	29.41
BeLuGa2	Yes	22.29
youtube-trader	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:49:20	BUY	No	0.8399999979	38	$32.00
10:44:41	SELL	Yes	0.16	12	$1.88
09:04:56	BUY	Yes	0.1699999983	18	$3.00
06:47:09	BUY	Yes	0.1699999983	59	$10.00
06:08:42	SELL	Yes	0.16	42	$6.72
06:08:41	SELL	Yes	0.16	42	$6.72
06:08:14	BUY	No	0.84	42	$35.28
06:08:12	BUY	No	0.84	111	$93.58
06:08:12	BUY	No	0.84	43	$36.28
05:42:08	BUY	Yes	0.17	133	$22.62
20:27:09	BUY	Yes	0.18	110	$19.80
20:26:44	BUY	Yes	0.18	86	$15.48
20:16:06	BUY	No	0.83	61	$50.40
20:15:26	BUY	Yes	0.17	43	$7.36
20:09:23	BUY	No	0.84	70	$58.80
18:56:38	BUY	No	0.84	20	$16.80
18:56:38	BUY	No	0.84	56	$46.90
18:56:38	BUY	No	0.84	47	$39.48
18:56:38	BUY	No	0.84	40	$33.60
16:08:12	SELL	Yes	0.16	0	$0.03
16:00:27	BUY	Yes	0.17	112	$19.04
16:00:20	BUY	No	0.84	18	$15.12
15:53:41	BUY	No	0.85	5	$4.25
15:53:35	BUY	No	0.84	25	$21.00
15:53:33	BUY	No	0.84	80	$67.20