Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-09
Resolves by: https://x.com/elonmusk
Rewards: 50 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.16. Range 0.14 to 0.16. 54 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.15	1,208	1,208
0.16	710	1,918
0.17	605	2,523
0.18	757	3,280
0.19	606	3,886
0.20	1,022	4,908
0.21	917	5,825
0.22	911	6,736
0.23	535	7,271
0.24	490	7,761
0.25	650	8,411
0.26	785	9,196

Spread0.01Mid0.15

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	1,695	1,695
0.13	982	2,677
0.12	2,005	4,682
0.11	6,038	10,720
0.10	63	10,783
0.09	55	10,838
0.08	27	10,865
0.07	363	11,228
0.06	3,884	15,113
0.05	16,435	31,548
0.04	530	32,078
0.03	790	32,868

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	1,695	1,695
0.87	982	2,677
0.88	2,005	4,682
0.89	6,038	10,720
0.90	63	10,783
0.91	55	10,838
0.92	27	10,865
0.93	363	11,228
0.94	3,884	15,113
0.95	16,435	31,548
0.96	530	32,078
0.97	790	32,868

Spread0.01Mid0.85

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.85	1,208	1,208
0.84	710	1,918
0.83	605	2,523
0.82	757	3,280
0.81	606	3,886
0.80	1,022	4,908
0.79	917	5,825
0.78	911	6,736
0.77	535	7,271
0.76	490	7,761
0.75	650	8,411
0.74	785	9,196

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Angeredbees	Yes	4,986.61
smalltimezzz	Yes	3,794.81
Poiuztrewq	Yes	3,500
hulitest2025	Yes	3,249.25
sebyastiens	Yes	1,000
Rizh	Yes	550
Mei-ji	Yes	500
Threepeeo	Yes	260.11
neverhackme	Yes	143.28
oboltusovao	Yes	125
alienhand	Yes	100
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	Yes	85.81
0xd0D82390736282E63B4Cdd9d6854f8CaFf4A3393-1715955170566	Yes	50.01
Carlos8902	Yes	40
BeLuGa2	Yes	22.27
Kot.ua	Yes	20
WanderingPanda	Yes	17
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	7.19
Certifiedcracked	Yes	7
0x2dc9…cb15	Yes	6.25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:05:35	BUY	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
07:40:27	BUY	Yes	0.15	50	$7.50
06:48:03	BUY	Yes	0.15	7	$1.08
06:08:12	BUY	No	0.8599999986	43	$37.15
06:08:11	BUY	No	0.86	111	$95.81
21:01:45	BUY	No	0.86	82	$70.30
20:33:53	SELL	Yes	0.14	1	$0.08
20:17:06	BUY	Yes	0.15	200	$30.00
20:16:06	BUY	No	0.8557708978	40	$34.40
20:16:05	BUY	No	0.85	61	$51.61
20:09:23	BUY	No	0.85	70	$59.50
18:56:38	BUY	No	0.85	56	$47.46
18:56:38	BUY	No	0.85	40	$34.00
18:56:38	BUY	No	0.85	47	$39.95
18:56:38	BUY	No	0.85	20	$17.00
18:28:59	BUY	Yes	0.16	6	$1.00
17:55:51	SELL	Yes	0.15	47	$7.08
16:26:00	BUY	No	0.849999915	1	$1.00
16:08:11	SELL	Yes	0.15	0	$0.02
16:00:20	BUY	No	0.85	18	$15.30
15:54:06	BUY	No	0.85	6	$5.00
15:53:33	BUY	No	0.85	80	$68.00
15:53:33	BUY	No	0.85	30	$25.50
15:53:33	BUY	No	0.85	12	$10.20
03:39:21	SELL	No	0.849	50	$42.45